Incyte Corp (INCY) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to INCY's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 1.90%.   Win rate: 71.88%.   Sharpe Ratio: -5.353.   Maximum drawdown: -58.12% on 24 December 2018.
Mean CAGR: 113.3%. Time in market: 14044 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1627.71 on 24 June 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Incyte

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 64 signal(s) occurring before 23 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (71.88% * 8.72%) + (12.50% * 1.23%) - (15.62% * 28.94%) = 1.90%.
Wins: 46 Breakevens: 8 Losses: 10

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Incyte Analysis

Market sector: Biotech.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
22 June 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (38)    geneticsHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 101.72 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 March 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (60)    geneticsHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 90.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 February 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (49)    geneticsLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 101.88 select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule schedule
16 January 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (79)    geneticsHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 105.88 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 December 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)    geneticsLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 97.45 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
05 May 2025   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)    geneticsHIGH   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 62.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 April 2025   smart_toyLOW (72)    geneticsHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 60.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 February 2025   smart_toyLOW (49)    geneticsLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 73.53 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 January 2025   smart_toyLOW (49)    geneticsHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 72.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
24 December 2024   smart_toyLOW (65)    geneticsHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 69.90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
22 November 2024   smart_toyLOW (67)    geneticsLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 71.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
13 September 2024   smart_toyLOW (68)    geneticsLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 63.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 August 2024   smart_toyLOW (63)    geneticsHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 61.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 July 2024   smart_toyLOW (50)    geneticsLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 59.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 February 2024   smart_toyLOW (55)    geneticsHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 59.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 October 2023   smart_toyLOW (74)    geneticsHIGH   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 52.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 September 2023   smart_toyLOW (51)    geneticsLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 59.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
16 June 2023   smart_toyLOW (54)    geneticsLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 63.02 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 May 2023   smart_toyLOW (77)    geneticsHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 65.85 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 April 2023   smart_toyLOW (52)    geneticsHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 72.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 March 2023   smart_toyLOW (60)    geneticsHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 77.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 October 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)    geneticsHIGH   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 69.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 September 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)    geneticsHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 71.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 August 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)    geneticsHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 73.62 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
06 July 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)    geneticsHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 79.41 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 June 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)    geneticsHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 74.16 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
02 May 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)    geneticsHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 75.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
21 March 2022   smart_toyLOW (60)    geneticsHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 76.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box disabled_by_default
15 February 2022   smart_toyLOW (52)    geneticsLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 67.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 November 2021   smart_toyLOW (70)    geneticsLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 66.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 October 2021   smart_toyLOW (55)    geneticsLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 65.87 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 August 2021   smart_toyLOW (48)    geneticsLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 75.65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 July 2021   smart_toyLOW (37)    geneticsLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 78.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 March 2021   smart_toyLOW (42)    geneticsLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 78.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
02 February 2021   smart_toyLOW (58)    geneticsLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 92.58 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
11 December 2020   smart_toyLOW (70)    geneticsLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 81.53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 November 2020   smart_toyLOW (62)    geneticsHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 82.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 October 2020   smart_toyLOW (51)    geneticsHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 90.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
04 September 2020   smart_toyLOW (59)    geneticsHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 91.06 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 August 2020   smart_toyLOW (41)     Mega Dump Lite $ 101.37 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
30 June 2020   smart_toyLOW (54)     Mega Dump Lite $ 103.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
27 May 2020   smart_toyLOW (45)     Mega Dump Lite $ 98.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
23 April 2020   smart_toyLOW (59)     Mega Dump Lite $ 101.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 March 2020   smart_toyHIGH (91)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 65.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 February 2020   smart_toyLOW (50)     Mega Dump Lite $ 79.15 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 January 2020   smart_toyLOW (41)     Mega Dump Lite $ 79.42 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 October 2019   smart_toyLOW (57)     Mega Dump Lite $ 76.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 September 2019   smart_toyLOW (48)     Mega Dump Lite $ 79.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 August 2019   smart_toyLOW (74)     Mega Dump Lite $ 84.16 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 July 2019   smart_toyLOW (68)     Mega Dump Lite $ 80.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 May 2019   smart_toyLOW (78)     Mega Dump Lite $ 79.53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 April 2019   smart_toyLOW (51)     Mega Dump Lite $ 74.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 January 2019   smart_toyLOW (67)     Mega Dump Lite $ 77.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 December 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (90)     Mega Dump Lite $ 65.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 November 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (76)     Mega Dump Lite $ 65.68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 October 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (69)     Mega Dump Lite $ 62.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 September 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (47)     Mega Dump Lite $ 67.46 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 August 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (47)     Mega Dump Lite $ 63.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 July 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (41)     Mega Dump Lite $ 70.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
04 June 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (44)     Mega Dump Lite $ 67.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
01 May 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (68)     Mega Dump Lite $ 61.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 March 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (66)     Mega Dump Lite $ 85.50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 February 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (71)     Mega Dump Lite $ 86.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
22 January 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (65)     Mega Dump Lite $ 93.73 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 December 2017  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (75)     Mega Dump Lite $ 95.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 November 2017  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (52)     Mega Dump Lite $ 105.71 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
13 October 2017  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (50)     Mega Dump Lite $ 113.89 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
11 September 2017  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (58)     Mega Dump Lite $ 128.22 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
08 August 2017  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (67)     Mega Dump Lite $ 131.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 July 2017  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (66)     Mega Dump Lite $ 129.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 June 2017  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (54)     Mega Dump Lite $ 128.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 May 2017  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (55)     Mega Dump Lite $ 123.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
29 March 2017  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (77)     Mega Dump Lite $ 139.39 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
22 November 2016   smart_toyLOW (69)     Mega Dump Lite $ 107.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 October 2016   smart_toyLOW (65)     Mega Dump Lite $ 88.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 August 2016   smart_toyLOW (55)     Mega Dump Lite $ 81.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 July 2016   smart_toyLOW (73)     Mega Dump Lite $ 86.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 June 2016   smart_toyLOW (71)     Mega Dump Lite $ 80.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Incyte Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: INCY) was last updated 01 Jul 2026 09:10. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 30 Jun 2026.