Incyte Corp (INCY) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to INCY's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 5.87%.   Win rate: 75.00%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.073.   Maximum drawdown: -41.12% on 24 December 2018.
Mean CAGR: 124.84%. Time in market: 3002 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1401.48 on 13 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Incyte

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 16 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (75.00% * 8.41%) + (18.75% * 1.12%) - (6.25% * 10.23%) = 5.87%.
Wins: 12 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Incyte Analysis

Market sector: Biotech.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
30 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 57 64 94 89 62 67 schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 38 70 94 89 66 56 schedule schedule schedule
15 June 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 59 69 94 89 66 70 schedule schedule schedule
08 June 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound 49 85 94 89 66 68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 June 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound 46 89 94 89 66 66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 36 85 94 89 66 57 schedule schedule schedule
12 May 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 44 88 94 87 66 64 schedule schedule schedule
30 April 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 41 89 94 87 66 62 schedule schedule schedule
10 April 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 51 78 94 86 66 68 schedule schedule schedule
24 March 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 60 82 94 86 66 75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
22 April 2024 52 Week Low $ 52.18 56 90 88 78 77 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 October 2023 52 Week Low $ 55.38 66 89 87 80 80 80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 September 2023 52 Week Low $ 59.67 53 87 87 83 82 70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 June 2023 52 Week Low $ 61.19 51 78 87 87 85 67 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
08 May 2023 52 Week Low $ 66.18 56 85 87 88 85 72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 November 2021 52 Week Low $ 63.96 65 87 69 86 54 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 October 2021 52 Week Low $ 64.62 89 88 70 88 58 96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 September 2021 52 Week Low $ 71.92 48 81 70 91 59 66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 August 2021 52 Week Low $ 76.56 48 85 71 81 61 66 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 March 2020 52 Week Low $ 71.78 81 78 40 94 36 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
31 January 2020 52 Week Low $ 72.81 70 88 22 93 31 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 December 2018  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 60.34 98 93 100 94 93 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 April 2018  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 81.44 78 85 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 March 2018  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 83.98 86 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
12 January 2018  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 93.88 74 63 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 November 2017  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 99.16 65 88 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

 

The data for Incyte Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: INCY) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 12 Aug 2026.