Incyte Corp (INCY) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to INCY's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 5.87%.   Win rate: 75.00%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.073.   Maximum drawdown: -41.12% on 24 December 2018.
Mean CAGR: 124.84%. Time in market: 3002 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1401.48 on 13 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Incyte

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 16 signal(s) occurring before 23 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (75.00% * 8.41%) + (18.75% * 1.12%) - (6.25% * 10.23%) = 5.87%.
Wins: 12 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Incyte Analysis

Market sector: Biotech.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
22 April 2024   smart_toyLOW (56)    geneticsLOW   52 Week Low $ 52.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 October 2023   smart_toyLOW (66)    geneticsHIGH   52 Week Low $ 55.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 September 2023   smart_toyLOW (53)    geneticsLOW   52 Week Low $ 59.67 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 June 2023   smart_toyLOW (51)    geneticsHIGH   52 Week Low $ 61.19 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
08 May 2023   smart_toyLOW (56)    geneticsHIGH   52 Week Low $ 66.18 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 November 2021   smart_toyLOW (65)    geneticsLOW   52 Week Low $ 63.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 October 2021   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)    geneticsLOW   52 Week Low $ 64.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 September 2021   smart_toyLOW (48)    geneticsLOW   52 Week Low $ 71.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 August 2021   smart_toyLOW (48)    geneticsLOW   52 Week Low $ 76.56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 March 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)     52 Week Low $ 71.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
31 January 2020   smart_toyLOW (70)     52 Week Low $ 72.81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 December 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (98)     sirenFIRE SALE 52 Week Low $ 60.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 April 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (78)     52 Week Low $ 81.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 March 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (86)     52 Week Low $ 83.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
12 January 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (74)     52 Week Low $ 93.88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 November 2017  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (65)     52 Week Low $ 99.16 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

 

The data for Incyte Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: INCY) was last updated 01 Jul 2026 09:10. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 30 Jun 2026.