Incyte Corp (INCY) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to INCY's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 5.87%.   Win rate: 75.00%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.073.   Maximum drawdown: -41.12% on 24 December 2018.
Mean CAGR: 124.84%. Time in market: 3002 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1401.48 on 13 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Incyte

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 16 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (75.00% * 8.41%) + (18.75% * 1.12%) - (6.25% * 10.23%) = 5.87%.
Wins: 12 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Incyte Analysis

Market sector: Biotech.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
22 April 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.503   52 Week Low $ 52.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 October 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.906   52 Week Low $ 55.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 September 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.722   52 Week Low $ 59.67 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 June 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.909   52 Week Low $ 61.19 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
08 May 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.573   52 Week Low $ 66.18 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 November 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.844   52 Week Low $ 63.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 October 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.866   52 Week Low $ 64.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 September 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.817   52 Week Low $ 71.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 August 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.699   52 Week Low $ 76.56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 March 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.962   52 Week Low $ 71.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
31 January 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.532   52 Week Low $ 72.81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 December 2018  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.957   52 Week Low $ 60.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 April 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.711   52 Week Low $ 81.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 March 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.768   52 Week Low $ 83.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
12 January 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.963   52 Week Low $ 93.88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 November 2017  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.719   52 Week Low $ 99.16 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

 

The data for Incyte Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: INCY) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 15 May 2026.