ICF International Inc (ICFI) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to ICFI's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.13%.   Win rate: 96.97%.   Sharpe Ratio: -6.73.   Maximum drawdown: -35.77% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 132.99%. Time in market: 3416 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3245.30 on 02 August 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for ICF International

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 33 signal(s) occurring before 23 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (96.97% * 8.37%) + (3.03% * 0.32%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.13%.
Wins: 32 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

ICF International Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
30 June 2026   smart_toyLOW (51)    computerLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 73.43 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
27 May 2026   smart_toyLOW (39)    computerLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 68.10 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 April 2026   smart_toyLOW (42)    computerLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 67.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
24 March 2026   smart_toyLOW (56)    computerLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 68.39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
18 February 2026   smart_toyLOW (56)    computerLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 77.08 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 December 2025   smart_toyLOW (78)    computerLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 85.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
18 November 2025   smart_toyLOW (66)    computerLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 77.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 October 2025   smart_toyLOW (72)    computerLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 87.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
05 May 2025   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 80.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 April 2025   smart_toyLOW (77)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 84.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
28 February 2025   smart_toyLOW (73)     Mega Dump Lite $ 81.53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 January 2025   smart_toyLOW (56)     Mega Dump Lite $ 124.46 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 December 2024   smart_toyLOW (58)     Mega Dump Lite $ 118.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
21 November 2024   smart_toyLOW (63)     Mega Dump Lite $ 136.72 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 August 2024   smart_toyLOW (53)     Mega Dump Lite $ 156.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
12 July 2024   smart_toyLOW (50)     Mega Dump Lite $ 132.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 June 2024   smart_toyLOW (36)     Mega Dump Lite $ 142.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 October 2023   smart_toyLOW (65)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 125.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 September 2023   smart_toyLOW (47)     Mega Dump Lite $ 121.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 July 2023   smart_toyLOW (34)     Mega Dump Lite $ 119.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 January 2023   smart_toyLOW (70)     Mega Dump Lite $ 102.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 December 2022   smart_toyLOW (76)     Mega Dump Lite $ 105.76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
10 November 2022   smart_toyLOW (70)     Mega Dump Lite $ 108.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
26 July 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)     Mega Dump Lite $ 93.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 June 2022   smart_toyHIGH (91)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 90.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 March 2022   smart_toyLOW (66)     Mega Dump Lite $ 88.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 February 2022   smart_toyLOW (53)     Mega Dump Lite $ 94.07 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
03 December 2021   smart_toyLOW (62)     Mega Dump Lite $ 100.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 September 2021   smart_toyLOW (63)     Mega Dump Lite $ 88.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 August 2021   smart_toyLOW (47)     Mega Dump Lite $ 89.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
01 July 2021   smart_toyLOW (49)     Mega Dump Lite $ 89.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
17 November 2020   smart_toyLOW (61)     Mega Dump Lite $ 75.43 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 October 2020   smart_toyLOW (64)     Mega Dump Lite $ 68.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 September 2020   smart_toyLOW (64)     Mega Dump Lite $ 66.75 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 August 2020   smart_toyLOW (51)     Mega Dump Lite $ 75.04 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
10 July 2020   smart_toyLOW (69)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 60.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 June 2020   smart_toyLOW (77)     Mega Dump Lite $ 71.01 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
05 May 2020   smart_toyLOW (63)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 70.88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
03 April 2020   smart_toyHIGH (91)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 65.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 March 2020   smart_toyLOW (68)     Mega Dump Lite $ 80.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 October 2019   smart_toyLOW (62)     Mega Dump Lite $ 79.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
17 September 2019   smart_toyLOW (59)     Mega Dump Lite $ 77.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 January 2019   smart_toyHIGH (96)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 63.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 December 2018   smart_toyLOW (65)     Mega Dump Lite $ 69.46 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 October 2018   smart_toyLOW (59)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 72.77 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 September 2018   smart_toyLOW (38)     Mega Dump Lite $ 72.81 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 April 2017   smart_toyLOW (60)     Mega Dump Lite $ 41.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 March 2017   smart_toyLOW (63)     Mega Dump Lite $ 41.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 December 2016   smart_toyLOW (73)     Mega Dump Lite $ 54.20 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for ICF International Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ICFI) was last updated 01 Jul 2026 09:10. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 30 Jun 2026.