ICF International Inc (ICFI) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to ICFI's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.63%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: ∞.   Maximum drawdown: -27.53% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 10.37%. Time in market: 272 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1076.30 on 09 December 2020.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for ICF International

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 1 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 7.63%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.63%.
Wins: 1 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

ICF International Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
21 July 2026 Gap Down 45 81 100 89 78 63 schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite 51 72 100 89 78 65 schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble 81 86 100 89 78 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 June 2026 Oversold Rebound 71 74 100 89 78 79 schedule schedule schedule
18 June 2026 Gap Down 60 83 100 89 79 75 schedule schedule schedule
16 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble 45 79 100 89 79 63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble 53 88 100 89 79 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 May 2026 Mega Dump Lite 39 82 100 89 79 59 schedule schedule schedule
19 May 2026 Collapsed Bubble 59 91 100 86 79 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 May 2026 Super Oversold (52) 51 94 100 87 78 71 schedule schedule schedule

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
13 May 2026 52 Week Low $ 62.08 64 93 100 87 78 80 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 February 2026 52 Week Low $ 75.93 58 83 100 87 82 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 November 2025 52 Week Low $ 77.88 56 90 100 87 86 74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 February 2025 52 Week Low $ 115.82 58 87 100 68 81 73 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 December 2024 52 Week Low $ 127.49 73 93 100 67 82 84 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 March 2020 52 Week Low $ 71.24 87 96 100 75 76 94 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for ICF International Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ICFI) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 12 Aug 2026.