First Trust Nasdaq Food & Beverage (FTXG) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator: 52 week low 50 day low Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down (4-15%)
Rate of Change Mega Dump Super Oversold Super-Duper Oversold [ What are these indicators? | Switch to FTXG's monthly backtests ]
Profit target: 5% 7.5% 10% 20% [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]
Expectancy: 4.35%. See below chart for calculations and explanation. Win rate: 50.0%. Maximum drawdown: 17.16% on 06 November 2025.
Mean CAGR: 72.26%. Time in market: 387 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1035.16 on 06 September 2024
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)
*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Expectancy Calculations for US Food & Drinks

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 2 signal(s) occurring before 20 December 2023 for a 5% profit target: (50.0% * 5.19%) + (50.0% * 3.52%) - (0% * 0%) = 4.35%.
Wins: 1 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

52 Week Low Backtest Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
		5%	7.5%	10%	20%
29 October 2025	$21.06	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
18 September 2025	$21.78	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
05 February 2025	$21.80	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
19 December 2024	$23.02	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
12 October 2023	$22.06	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
06 September 2023	$24.88	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box

The data for First Trust Nasdaq Food & Beverage (exchange: XNAS symbol: FTXG) was last updated 27 Dec 2025 05:09. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 26 Dec 2025.