FirstService Corp (FSV) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Double Seven Rate of Change Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite
Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to FSV's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.64%. Win rate: 89.29%. Sharpe Ratio: -2.58. Maximum drawdown: -38.49% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 133.65%. Time in market: 2687 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3423.72 on 16 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for FirstService

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 28 signal(s) occurring before 18 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (89.29% * 8.52%) + (10.71% * 0.30%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.64%.
Wins: 25 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

FirstService Analysis

Market sector: Real Estate.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
25 June 2026 smart_toyMEDIUM (82) apartmentLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 135.80	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
19 May 2026 smart_toyLOW (33) apartmentLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 128.95	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
17 April 2026 smart_toyLOW (28) apartmentLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 151.61	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
17 March 2026 smart_toyLOW (55) apartmentLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 143.10	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
17 November 2025 smart_toyLOW (64) apartmentLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 153.23	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule	schedule	schedule
14 October 2025 smart_toyLOW (65) apartmentLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 185.10	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
17 April 2025 smart_toyHIGH (92) apartmentHIGH	Mega Dump Lite	$ 171.64	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
17 March 2025 smart_toyLOW (76) apartmentLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 166.81	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
23 April 2024 smart_toyLOW (49) apartmentLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 153.18	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
06 October 2023 smart_toyLOW (70) apartmentLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 143.97	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
21 December 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (88) apartmentHIGH	Mega Dump Lite	$ 122.72	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
14 November 2022 smart_toyLOW (78) apartmentLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 128.11	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (89) apartmentHIGH sirenFIRE SALE	Mega Dump Lite	$ 119.84	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
08 September 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (83) apartmentLOW sirenFIRE SALE	Mega Dump Lite	$ 124.69	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
08 July 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (87) apartmentHIGH sirenFIRE SALE	Mega Dump Lite	$ 127.60	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box
06 June 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (82) apartmentLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 125.98	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
03 May 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (89) apartmentLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 122.53	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
01 April 2022 smart_toyLOW (45) apartmentLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 144.64	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
01 March 2022 smart_toyLOW (61) apartmentLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 142.19	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
26 January 2022 smart_toyLOW (52) apartmentLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 158.98	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
18 May 2021 smart_toyLOW (40)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 159.68	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
30 November 2020 smart_toyLOW (52)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 136.83	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
18 May 2020 smart_toyLOW (69)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 82.72	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
06 April 2020 smart_toyMEDIUM (87) sirenFIRE SALE	Mega Dump Lite	$ 74.45	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2020 smart_toyLOW (49)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 101.32	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
06 December 2019 smart_toyLOW (68)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 92.17	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 November 2019 smart_toyLOW (68)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 87.14	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 January 2019 smart_toyLOW (79)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 79.86	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
27 December 2018 smart_toyHIGH (95) sirenFIRE SALE	Mega Dump Lite	$ 65.74	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2018 smart_toyLOW (65)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 72.53	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 October 2018 smart_toyLOW (51)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 78.54	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
07 February 2018 smart_toyLOW (75)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 64.62	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
21 September 2017 smart_toyLOW (68)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 64.24	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
18 November 2016 smart_toyLOW (77)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 39.98	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 October 2016 smart_toyLOW (72)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 43.65	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
02 September 2016 smart_toyLOW (62)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 47.38	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt

The data for FirstService Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: FSV) was last updated 26 Jun 2026 05:21. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 25 Jun 2026.