FirstService Corp (FSV) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to FSV's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.64%.   Win rate: 89.29%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.58.   Maximum drawdown: -38.49% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 133.65%. Time in market: 2687 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3423.72 on 16 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for FirstService

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 28 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (89.29% * 8.52%) + (10.71% * 0.30%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.64%.
Wins: 25 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

FirstService Analysis

Market sector: Real Estate.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
28 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite 41 79 94 85 61 60 schedule schedule schedule
23 July 2026 Gap Down 32 74 94 85 61 51 schedule schedule schedule
26 June 2026 Oversold Rebound 61 68 94 85 65 71 schedule schedule schedule
25 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite 82 76 94 85 65 87 schedule schedule schedule
17 June 2026 Gap Down 59 71 94 85 64 71 schedule schedule schedule
19 May 2026 Mega Dump Lite 33 88 94 82 64 55 schedule schedule schedule
30 April 2026 52 Week Low 56 91 94 84 64 74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 April 2026 26 Week Low 51 91 94 84 64 70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 April 2026 50 Day Low 34 91 94 84 64 56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 April 2026 Gap Down 25 85 94 84 64 46 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
28 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 142.98 41 79 94 85 61 60 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
25 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 135.80 82 76 94 85 65 87 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 May 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 128.95 33 88 94 82 64 55 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 April 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 151.61 28 85 94 83 64 49 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 March 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 143.10 55 85 94 83 68 71 select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 November 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 153.23 64 88 95 88 79 79 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
14 October 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 185.10 65 81 95 73 73 76 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 April 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 171.64 92 91 96 70 71 95 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 March 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 166.81 76 80 96 70 73 83 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 April 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 153.18 49 78 95 74 79 65 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 October 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 143.97 70 81 100 77 89 79 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 December 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 122.72 88 92 100 76 67 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 November 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 128.11 78 84 100 77 69 86 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 119.84 89 93 100 75 68 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 September 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 124.69 83 80 100 75 68 87 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 July 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 127.60 87 92 100 75 68 93 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
06 June 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 125.98 82 90 100 74 67 90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
03 May 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 122.53 89 90 100 79 72 94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
01 April 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 144.64 45 83 100 82 77 63 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 March 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 142.19 61 85 100 76 78 75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 January 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 158.98 52 88 100 76 78 70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 May 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 159.68 40 82 100 73 82 58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 November 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 136.83 52 82 100 66 81 67 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 May 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 82.72 69 77 100 78 84 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
06 April 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 74.45 87 94 100 80 82 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 101.32 49 77 100 79 73 65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 December 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 92.17 68 78 100 74 69 77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 November 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 87.14 68 83 100 73 69 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 January 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 79.86 79 79 100 69 67 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 December 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 65.74 95 96 100 68 72 98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 72.53 65 77 100 65 59 75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 October 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 78.54 51 69 100 45 44 62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 February 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 64.62 75 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 September 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 64.24 68 70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
18 November 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 39.98 77 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 October 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 43.65 72 93 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 September 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 47.38 62 59 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for FirstService Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: FSV) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 12 Aug 2026.