FirstService Corp (FSV) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Simple Mean Reversion Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) Gap Up Rate of Change
Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR
Collapsed Bubble Collapsed Bubble (RoC) Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to FSV's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 9.56%. Win rate: 100%. Sharpe Ratio: 5.584. Maximum drawdown: -42.50% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 173.62%. Time in market: 519 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1557.25 on 29 January 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for FirstService

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 8 signal(s) occurring before 17 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 9.56%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.56%.
Wins: 8 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

FirstService Analysis

Market sector: Real Estate.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date	Signal Type	Score	Performance
			5%	6%	7.5%
23 July 2026	Gap Down	smart_toyLOW (32) apartmentLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
26 June 2026	Oversold Rebound	smart_toyLOW (61) apartmentLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
25 June 2026	Mega Dump Lite	smart_toyMEDIUM (82) apartmentLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
17 June 2026	Gap Down	smart_toyLOW (59) apartmentLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
19 May 2026	Mega Dump Lite	smart_toyLOW (33) apartmentLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
30 April 2026	52 Week Low	smart_toyLOW (56) apartmentLOW	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
30 April 2026	26 Week Low	smart_toyLOW (51) apartmentLOW	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
30 April 2026	50 Day Low	smart_toyLOW (34) apartmentLOW	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
29 April 2026	Gap Down	smart_toyLOW (25) apartmentLOW	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule
29 April 2026	Williams %R (Weekly)	smart_toyLOW (27) apartmentLOW	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
25 July 2025 smart_toyLOW (52) apartmentLOW	Gap Up	$ 198.22	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
25 October 2024 smart_toyLOW (31) apartmentLOW	Gap Up	$ 189.23	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	schedule	schedule
28 July 2023 smart_toyLOW (24) apartmentLOW	Gap Up	$ 155.32	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
30 June 2022 smart_toyHIGH (91) apartmentLOW	Gap Up	$ 119.94	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
15 June 2020 smart_toyLOW (47) apartmentHIGH	Gap Up	$ 97.60	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 April 2020 smart_toyMEDIUM (81) apartmentHIGH	Gap Up	$ 83.36	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 April 2020 smart_toyMEDIUM (84) apartmentHIGH	Gap Up	$ 82.23	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 April 2020 smart_toyHIGH (94) apartmentHIGH	Gap Up	$ 75.97	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020 smart_toyHIGH (90) apartmentHIGH	Gap Up	$ 78.30	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 February 2020 smart_toyLOW (48) apartmentHIGH	Gap Up	$ 108.39	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt

The data for FirstService Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: FSV) was last updated 27 Jul 2026 04:58. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 24 Jul 2026.