FirstService Corp (FSV) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to FSV's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 6.87%.   Win rate: 90.91%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.299.   Maximum drawdown: -38.44% on 17 June 2022.
Mean CAGR: 79.68%. Time in market: 1619 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1537.59 on 11 January 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for FirstService

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 11 signal(s) occurring before 22 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (90.91% * 8.94%) + (0% * 0%) - (9.09% * 13.80%) = 6.87%.
Wins: 10 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

FirstService Analysis

Market sector: Real Estate.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Score Performance
5% 6% 7.5%
28 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (41)    apartmentLOW   schedule schedule schedule
23 July 2026 Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (32)    apartmentLOW   schedule schedule schedule
26 June 2026 Oversold Rebound   smart_toyLOW (61)    apartmentLOW   schedule schedule schedule
25 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)    apartmentLOW   schedule schedule schedule
17 June 2026 Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (59)    apartmentLOW   schedule schedule schedule
19 May 2026 Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (33)    apartmentLOW   schedule schedule schedule
30 April 2026 50 Day Low   smart_toyLOW (34)    apartmentLOW   select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 April 2026 52 Week Low   smart_toyLOW (56)    apartmentLOW   select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 April 2026 26 Week Low   smart_toyLOW (51)    apartmentLOW   select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 April 2026 Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (25)    apartmentLOW   select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
23 July 2026   smart_toyLOW (32)    apartmentLOW   Gap Down $ 133.80 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
29 April 2026   smart_toyLOW (25)    apartmentLOW   Gap Down $ 137.95 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
05 February 2026   smart_toyLOW (51)    apartmentLOW   Gap Down $ 162.06 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 October 2025   smart_toyLOW (53)    apartmentLOW   Gap Down $ 175.86 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 February 2025   smart_toyLOW (41)    apartmentLOW   Gap Down $ 178.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
07 October 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)    apartmentHIGH   Gap Down $ 125.10 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 April 2022   smart_toyLOW (74)    apartmentLOW   Gap Down $ 126.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
05 January 2022   smart_toyLOW (47)    apartmentLOW   Gap Down $ 185.72 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 November 2020   smart_toyLOW (64)    apartmentHIGH   Gap Down $ 140.41 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 April 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)    apartmentHIGH   sirenFIRE SALE Gap Down $ 73.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 February 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)    apartmentHIGH   Gap Down $ 100.32 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 December 2019   smart_toyLOW (66)    apartmentLOW   Gap Down $ 90.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 October 2019   smart_toyLOW (58)    apartmentHIGH   Gap Down $ 96.81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 December 2018   smart_toyLOW (79)    apartmentHIGH   Gap Down $ 67.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 October 2017   smart_toyLOW (67)     Gap Down $ 67.88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
13 September 2017   smart_toyLOW (74)     Gap Down $ 65.13 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for FirstService Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: FSV) was last updated 30 Jul 2026 04:37. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 29 Jul 2026.