FirstService Corp (FSV) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to FSV's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 6.59%.   Win rate: 85.71%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.106.   Maximum drawdown: -36.10% on 17 June 2022.
Mean CAGR: 94.78%. Time in market: 2250 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1824.52 on 26 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for FirstService

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 14 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (85.71% * 8.48%) + (7.14% * 0.95%) - (7.14% * 10.52%) = 6.59%.
Wins: 12 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

FirstService Analysis

Market sector: Real Estate.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
30 April 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.583  factory0.43   50 Day Low $ 134.33 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 March 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.743  factory0.304   50 Day Low $ 149.69 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 December 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.757  factory0.686   50 Day Low $ 149.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
07 November 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.536  factory0.652   50 Day Low $ 152.52 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
06 October 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.749  factory0.615   50 Day Low $ 187.52 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
11 March 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.842  factory0.827   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 166.81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 February 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.852  factory0.673   50 Day Low $ 172.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
19 December 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.874  factory0.778   50 Day Low $ 181.97 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule
22 May 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.683  factory0.344   50 Day Low $ 145.92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 April 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.664  factory0.324   50 Day Low $ 162.64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
02 October 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.897  factory0.865   50 Day Low $ 143.61 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 September 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.779  factory0.773   50 Day Low $ 120.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 June 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.743  factory0.856   50 Day Low $ 114.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 April 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.751  factory0.572   50 Day Low $ 132.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 February 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.851  factory0.585   50 Day Low $ 152.08 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 January 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.753  factory0.632   50 Day Low $ 178.92 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
30 September 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.875  factory0.65   50 Day Low $ 181.19 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
11 March 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.952  factory0.897   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 92.62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 October 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.759  factory0.582   50 Day Low $ 96.81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 December 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.854  factory0.824   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 70.13 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 October 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.828  factory0.659   50 Day Low $ 80.52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
01 February 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.779  factory0.627   50 Day Low $ 64.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 October 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.678  factory0.758   50 Day Low $ 43.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for FirstService Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: FSV) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 29 May 2026.