Fastenal Company (FAST) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results
*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.
Calculations for Fastenal
Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.
Expectancy calculation for 12 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (91.67% * 8.28%) + (8.33% * 0.83%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.66%.
Wins: 11 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0
To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.
The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.
Fastenal Analysis
Market sector: Industrials.
External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.
These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.
50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)
This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.
Key:
= profit point not achieved.
= profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
= profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%.
= profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.
| Signal Date and Score | Buy Signal | Price | Performance (mouseover for details) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5% | 6% | 7.5% | 10% | 20% | |||
| 29 April 2026 LOW smart_toy0.615 factory0.668 | 50 Day Low | $ 43.97 | |||||
| 14 November 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.663 factory0.676 | 50 Day Low | $ 40.60 | |||||
| 13 October 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.844 factory0.708 | 50 Day Low | $ 42.96 | |||||
| 07 April 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.959 factory0.878 FIRE SALE | 50 Day Low | $ 36.36 | |||||
| 27 December 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.699 factory0.782 | 50 Day Low | $ 36.73 | |||||
| 01 July 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.619 factory0.514 | 50 Day Low | $ 31.34 | |||||
| 21 May 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.667 factory0.349 | 50 Day Low | $ 33.18 | |||||
| 17 April 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.675 factory0.621 | 50 Day Low | $ 34.43 | |||||
| 06 September 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.848 factory0.706 | 50 Day Low | $ 27.58 | |||||
| 29 September 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.986 factory0.955 FIRE SALE | 50 Day Low | $ 23.48 | |||||
| 14 June 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.912 factory0.89 FIRE SALE | 50 Day Low | $ 24.84 | |||||
| 11 May 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.977 factory0.898 FIRE SALE | 50 Day Low | $ 25.55 | |||||
| 23 February 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.774 factory0.76 | 50 Day Low | $ 25.19 | |||||
| 20 January 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.793 factory0.636 | 50 Day Low | $ 28.72 | |||||
| 17 September 2021 MEDIUM smart_toy0.688 factory0.641 | 50 Day Low | $ 26.50 | |||||
| 04 March 2021 LOW smart_toy0.592 factory0.642 | 50 Day Low | $ 22.58 | |||||
| 29 January 2021 LOW smart_toy0.746 factory0.684 | 50 Day Low | $ 23.00 | |||||
| 28 October 2020 LOW smart_toy0.783 factory0.768 | 50 Day Low | $ 21.43 | |||||
The data for Fastenal Company (exchange: XNAS symbol: FAST) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2020 - 29 May 2026.