Fastenal Company (FAST) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Simple Mean Reversion Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) Gap Up Rate of Change
Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR
Collapsed Bubble Collapsed Bubble (RoC) Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to FAST's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.70%. Win rate: 100%. Sharpe Ratio: 1437.082. Maximum drawdown: -6.33% on 14 July 2022.
Mean CAGR: 83.84%. Time in market: 93 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1159.82 on 08 November 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Fastenal

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 2 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 7.70%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.70%.
Wins: 2 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Fastenal Analysis

Market sector: Industrials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date	Signal Type	Scores						Performance
		Signal	Sector	WR	Speed	Risk	Overall	5%	6%	7.5%
29 June 2026	Oversold Rebound	54	50	100	89	85	60	schedule	schedule	schedule
18 June 2026	Double Seven	47	67	100	89	85	61	schedule	schedule	schedule
26 May 2026	Oversold Rebound	35	78	100	89	85	55	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
19 May 2026	Mega Dump Lite	47	86	100	88	85	66	schedule	schedule	schedule
15 May 2026	Williams %R (Weekly)	54	88	100	90	86	72	schedule	schedule	schedule
29 April 2026	50 Day Low	34	77	100	90	86	54	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 April 2026	Double Seven	41	84	100	89	86	60	schedule	schedule	schedule
17 April 2026	Mega Dump Lite	41	78	100	89	86	60	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
17 April 2026	Double Seven	39	78	100	89	86	58	schedule	schedule	schedule
13 April 2026	Gap Down	34	70	100	89	86	52	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date	Buy Signal	Price	Scores						Performance (mouseover for details)
			Signal	Sector	WR	Speed	Risk	Overall	5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
30 September 2022	52 Week Low	$ 23.12	98	94					select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
14 June 2022	52 Week Low	$ 24.84	96	92					select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box

The data for Fastenal Company (exchange: XNAS symbol: FAST) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2020 - 12 Aug 2026.