Diamondback Energy Inc (FANG) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to FANG's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 4.74%.   Win rate: 90.91%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.476.   Maximum drawdown: -84.49% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 177.25%. Time in market: 2442 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $794.88 on 11 July 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Diamondback Energy

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 22 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (90.91% * 9.05%) + (4.55% * 0.62%) - (4.55% * 77.38%) = 4.74%.
Wins: 20 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Diamondback Energy Analysis

Market sector: Energy.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
15 September 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.738  factory0.404   50 Day Low $ 136.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 April 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.987  factory0.707   50 Day Low $ 128.71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 February 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.766  factory0.521   50 Day Low $ 152.13 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 December 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.614  factory0.483   50 Day Low $ 169.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 September 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.8  factory0.484   50 Day Low $ 181.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
05 August 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.738  factory0.753   50 Day Low $ 184.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
04 June 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.677  factory0.34   50 Day Low $ 188.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
22 June 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.92  factory0.531   50 Day Low $ 122.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 March 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.495  factory0.729   50 Day Low $ 125.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 January 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.704  factory0.801   50 Day Low $ 129.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 June 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.984  factory0.855   50 Day Low $ 124.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 December 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.882  factory0.542   50 Day Low $ 103.05 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 August 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.901  factory0.751   50 Day Low $ 67.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 July 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.961  factory0.706   50 Day Low $ 73.71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 October 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.847  factory0.67   50 Day Low $ 28.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 September 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.852  factory0.503   50 Day Low $ 36.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.991  factory0.808   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 51.54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
03 February 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.85  factory0.325   50 Day Low $ 72.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
06 November 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.742  factory0.496   50 Day Low $ 77.19 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 September 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.646  factory0.448   50 Day Low $ 87.87 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 August 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.733  factory0.561   50 Day Low $ 91.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
31 May 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.921  factory0.805   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 96.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
06 December 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.544  factory0.73   50 Day Low $ 99.57 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
29 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.814  factory0.719   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 108.31 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 September 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.854  factory0.601   50 Day Low $ 115.57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
04 June 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.722  factory0.638   50 Day Low $ 110.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 June 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.646  factory0.539   50 Day Low $ 88.01 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 May 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.703  factory0.466   50 Day Low $ 94.73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 March 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.744  factory0.356   50 Day Low $ 96.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Diamondback Energy Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: FANG) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 29 May 2026.