VanEck Video Gaming & ESports (ESPO) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to ESPO's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 4.78%.   Win rate: 71.43%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.771.   Maximum drawdown: -39.64% on 24 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 142.75%. Time in market: 2833 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1402.76 on 06 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Gaming & ESports

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 14 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (71.43% * 8.19%) + (14.29% * 0.50%) - (14.29% * 7.99%) = 4.78%.
Wins: 10 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
24 February 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.697  factory0.339   50 Day Low $ 91.85 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
20 January 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.559  factory0.458   50 Day Low $ 103.68 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 December 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.517  factory0.372   50 Day Low $ 106.52 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.68  factory0.443   50 Day Low $ 112.50 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.93  factory0.765   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 81.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 August 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.559  factory0.62   50 Day Low $ 61.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 April 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.576  factory0.34   50 Day Low $ 58.77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.762  factory0.718   50 Day Low $ 49.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.389  factory0.498   50 Day Low $ 51.76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 August 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.5  factory0.399   50 Day Low $ 53.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.952  factory0.714   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 39.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.668  factory0.845   50 Day Low $ 46.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
21 April 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.573  factory0.271   50 Day Low $ 51.97 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 March 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.734  factory0.337   50 Day Low $ 56.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 January 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.785  factory0.411   50 Day Low $ 60.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
20 December 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.689  factory0.543   50 Day Low $ 64.28 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
29 September 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.488  factory0.42   50 Day Low $ 64.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
17 August 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.674  factory0.276   50 Day Low $ 65.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
13 May 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.806  factory0.296   50 Day Low $ 64.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
25 March 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.417  factory0.344   50 Day Low $ 65.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default

 

The data for VanEck Video Gaming & ESports (exchange: XNAS symbol: ESPO) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 29 May 2026.