iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond (EMB) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to EMB's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Threshold:           [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -5.67%.   Win rate: 4.17%.   Sharpe Ratio: -5.323.   Maximum drawdown: -31.64% on 20 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: -1.92%. Time in market: 11688 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $767.10 on 20 June 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Emerging Market Bonds

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 24 signal(s) occurring before 05 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (4.17% * 7.74%) + (62.50% * 3.22%) - (33.33% * 24.02%) = -5.67%.
Wins: 1 Breakevens: 15 Losses: 8

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

Double Seven Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Double Seven entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
02 June 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 95.96 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
01 May 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 95.60 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 March 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 93.23 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 February 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 97.59 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 January 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 96.64 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
21 January 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 96.25 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 December 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 96.36 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 December 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 96.34 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 November 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 95.99 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 November 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 96.10 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 October 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 95.72 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
14 October 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 95.14 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 September 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 95.48 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 September 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 95.34 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 August 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 93.62 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
11 August 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 93.44 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 July 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 92.12 select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule schedule
08 July 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 91.82 select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule schedule
08 April 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 87.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 March 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 90.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 March 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 90.79 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 December 2024   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 89.18 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 November 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 91.53 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 October 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 91.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 September 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 93.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 August 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 91.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 July 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 89.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 June 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 89.15 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 May 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 88.88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 April 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 88.22 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 March 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 89.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 February 2024   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 87.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 January 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 87.68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 September 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 84.58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 August 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 86.20 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 August 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 86.67 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 July 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 84.56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 June 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 86.19 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 May 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 83.89 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 May 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 84.49 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 April 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 85.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 April 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 85.79 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 March 2023   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 85.20 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 January 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 87.65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 October 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 108.64 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
24 September 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 111.10 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 September 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 112.98 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 August 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 112.40 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 August 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 112.62 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
20 July 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 112.82 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 July 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 111.94 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
17 June 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 111.94 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

 

The data for iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond (exchange: XNAS symbol: EMB) was last updated 14 Jun 2026 16:17. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 12 Jun 2026.