Enterprise Financial Services Corp (EFSC) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to EFSC's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 4.89%.   Win rate: 79.17%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.614.   Maximum drawdown: -54.74% on 15 May 2020.
Mean CAGR: 98.92%. Time in market: 4031 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1251.91 on 12 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Enterprise Financial Services

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 24 signal(s) occurring before 29 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (79.17% * 8.35%) + (16.67% * 0.74%) - (4.17% * 44.21%) = 4.89%.
Wins: 19 Breakevens: 4 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Enterprise Financial Services Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
28 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite 50 72 100 82 62 64 schedule schedule schedule
08 June 2026 Oversold Rebound 45 72 100 82 66 61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 June 2026 Gap Down 37 85 100 82 66 58 schedule schedule schedule
02 June 2026 Double Seven 49 81 100 82 66 66 schedule schedule schedule
02 June 2026 Oversold Rebound 41 81 100 82 66 60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 May 2026 Double Seven 46 78 100 80 66 63 schedule schedule schedule
01 May 2026 Double Seven 48 89 100 80 66 67 schedule schedule schedule
29 April 2026 Gap Down 29 76 100 80 66 49 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 April 2026 Double Bottom 62 70 100 80 66 72 schedule schedule schedule
09 April 2026 Double Bottom 62 70 100 80 66 72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
09 March 2026 50 Day Low $ 53.76 35 74 100 81 71 54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 November 2025 50 Day Low $ 52.05 67 60 100 85 78 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 October 2025 50 Day Low $ 54.52 64 77 100 72 72 74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 March 2025 50 Day Low $ 53.60 74 61 97 76 72 75 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
29 May 2024 50 Day Low $ 37.60 37 60 97 85 80 51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 February 2024 50 Day Low $ 39.11 43 84 97 72 80 61 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 October 2023  bubble_chart 50 Day Low $ 36.52 45 71 96 78 84 60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 August 2023  bubble_chart 50 Day Low $ 38.92 44 67 96 82 85 59 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
24 April 2023  bubble_chart 50 Day Low $ 43.15 58 70 96 86 86 69 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 March 2023  bubble_chart 50 Day Low $ 46.86 73 75 96 88 78 81 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 June 2022  bubble_chart 50 Day Low $ 42.16 86 95 89 82 56 95 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 May 2022  bubble_chart 50 Day Low $ 44.14 79 89 87 87 60 89 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 April 2022  bubble_chart 50 Day Low $ 46.78 42 57 87 88 60 55 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
20 December 2021  bubble_chart 50 Day Low $ 45.50 72 79 87 89 74 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
18 June 2021  bubble_chart 50 Day Low $ 46.42 68 59 88 96 79 73 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 September 2020 50 Day Low $ 27.17 65 91 100 92 98 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 May 2020 50 Day Low $ 24.85 78 70 100 93 98 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 March 2020 50 Day Low $ 37.27 68 78 100 95 96 78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 January 2020 50 Day Low $ 43.68 54 75 100 94 96 68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 August 2019 50 Day Low $ 38.18 66 73 100 97 99 76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 May 2019 50 Day Low $ 38.38 72 61 100 97 99 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 December 2018 50 Day Low $ 40.32 83 94 100 95 99 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
18 October 2018 50 Day Low $ 47.60 44 68 100 95 99 59 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 September 2018 50 Day Low $ 52.44 25 76 100 95 99 45 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 April 2018 50 Day Low $ 45.11 65 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 August 2017 50 Day Low $ 37.59 51 39 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 June 2017 50 Day Low $ 37.76 81 46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 June 2016 50 Day Low $ 24.85 83 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Enterprise Financial Services Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: EFSC) was last updated 06 Aug 2026 07:13. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 05 Aug 2026.