Enterprise Financial Services Corp (EFSC) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to EFSC's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 4.77%.   Win rate: 78.26%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.577.   Maximum drawdown: -54.74% on 15 May 2020.
Mean CAGR: 97.72%. Time in market: 3998 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1251.91 on 12 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Enterprise Financial Services

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 23 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (78.26% * 8.39%) + (17.39% * 0.74%) - (4.35% * 44.21%) = 4.77%.
Wins: 18 Breakevens: 4 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Enterprise Financial Services Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
09 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.82  factory0.542   50 Day Low $ 53.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
18 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.711  factory0.563   50 Day Low $ 52.05 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
16 October 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.818  factory0.556   50 Day Low $ 54.52 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
31 March 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.955  factory0.731   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 53.60 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
29 May 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.626  factory0.336   50 Day Low $ 37.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 February 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.722  factory0.585   50 Day Low $ 39.11 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 October 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.881  factory0.858   50 Day Low $ 36.52 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 August 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.746  factory0.562   50 Day Low $ 38.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
24 April 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.598  factory0.503   50 Day Low $ 43.15 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 March 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.741  factory0.793   50 Day Low $ 46.86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 June 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.815  factory0.915   50 Day Low $ 42.16 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 May 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.924  factory0.826   50 Day Low $ 44.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 April 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.958  factory0.439   50 Day Low $ 46.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
20 December 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.826  factory0.715   50 Day Low $ 45.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
18 June 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.899  factory0.628   50 Day Low $ 46.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 September 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.712  factory0.796   50 Day Low $ 27.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 May 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.951  factory0.863   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 24.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 March 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.875  factory0.723   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 37.27 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 January 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.7  factory0.689   50 Day Low $ 43.68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 August 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.723  factory0.734   50 Day Low $ 38.18 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 May 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.868  factory0.849   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 38.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 December 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.885  factory0.914   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 40.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
18 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.724  factory0.821   50 Day Low $ 47.60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 September 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.726  factory0.59   50 Day Low $ 52.44 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 April 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.653  factory0.687   50 Day Low $ 45.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 August 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.764  factory0.477   50 Day Low $ 37.59 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 June 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.677  factory0.717   50 Day Low $ 37.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 June 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.909  factory0.81   50 Day Low $ 24.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Enterprise Financial Services Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: EFSC) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 29 May 2026.