CSX Corp (CSX) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to CSX's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.65%.   Win rate: 90.48%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.102.   Maximum drawdown: -30.93% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 106.15%. Time in market: 2272 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2923.75 on 24 July 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for CSX Corp

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 21 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (90.48% * 8.37%) + (9.52% * 0.86%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.65%.
Wins: 19 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

CSX Corp Analysis

Market sector: Transportation.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
02 September 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.668  factory0.343   50 Day Low $ 32.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.989  factory0.863   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 27.39 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.945  factory0.684   50 Day Low $ 31.51 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
16 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.736  factory0.666   50 Day Low $ 33.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 October 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.729  factory0.568   50 Day Low $ 33.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
04 June 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.676  factory0.301   50 Day Low $ 32.99 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
11 April 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.707  factory0.441   50 Day Low $ 35.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.866  factory0.863   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 29.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 August 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.82  factory0.588   50 Day Low $ 30.47 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 March 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.475  factory0.811   50 Day Low $ 29.62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 January 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.603  factory0.653   50 Day Low $ 30.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.989  factory0.914   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 27.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.795  factory0.92   50 Day Low $ 29.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
10 May 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.955  factory0.84   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 33.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 February 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.936  factory0.622   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 33.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
21 January 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.893  factory0.513   50 Day Low $ 34.57 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
14 September 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.595  factory0.544   50 Day Low $ 30.73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 June 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.849  factory0.485   50 Day Low $ 32.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
22 January 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.826  factory0.275   50 Day Low $ 29.52 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 February 2020  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.683  factory0.826   50 Day Low $ 23.34 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
17 July 2019  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.409  factory0.672   50 Day Low $ 23.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 December 2018  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.927  factory0.892   50 Day Low $ 21.07 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.762  factory0.802   50 Day Low $ 22.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 February 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.93  factory0.757   50 Day Low $ 16.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 November 2017  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.875  factory0.522   50 Day Low $ 15.71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 August 2017  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.62  factory0.206   50 Day Low $ 15.65 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 June 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.864  factory0.716   50 Day Low $ 7.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for CSX Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: CSX) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 29 May 2026.