Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to CSCO's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.20%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 1.328.   Maximum drawdown: -22.05% on 29 October 2020.
Mean CAGR: 137.22%. Time in market: 1233 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2198.36 on 25 July 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Cisco Systems

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 14 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.20%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.20%.
Wins: 14 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Cisco Systems Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
24 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 59 94 100 82 60 77 schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound 73 72 100 82 62 80 schedule schedule schedule
26 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 78 86 100 82 62 87 schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 58 71 100 82 61 70 schedule schedule schedule
10 June 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 66 68 100 82 62 74 schedule schedule schedule
27 May 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound 56 82 100 82 62 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 May 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 44 91 100 79 62 65 schedule schedule schedule
15 May 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 71 91 100 81 61 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 May 2026 Double Seven 51 93 100 81 61 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
06 April 2026 Double Seven 58 94 100 80 61 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
15 May 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 116.41 71 91 100 81 61 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
14 November 2025 Gap Up $ 77.29 81 90 100 91 76 91 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 February 2025 Gap Up $ 64.33 50 80 100 80 74 67 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
16 August 2024 Gap Up $ 49.05 68 81 100 78 78 78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 November 2022 Gap Up $ 47.35 83 94 100 77 72 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
11 November 2022 Gap Up $ 44.98 73 92 100 77 72 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 August 2022 Gap Up $ 48.86 75 89 100 78 74 85 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 November 2020 Gap Up $ 42.14 88 92 100 72 96 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 November 2020 Gap Up $ 38.46 92 89 100 71 96 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 June 2020 Gap Up $ 45.67 70 91 100 73 94 81 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 March 2020 Gap Up $ 37.82 97 91 100 73 97 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020 Gap Up $ 33.17 98 96 100 73 95 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 November 2018 Gap Up $ 44.40 81 90 100 86 95 89 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 August 2018 Gap Up $ 43.23 55 87 100 96 95 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
16 February 2018 Gap Up $ 41.26 53 93 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 November 2017 Gap Up $ 33.34 59 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 May 2016 Gap Up $ 24.50 90 89 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 February 2016 Gap Up $ 21.83 97 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Cisco Systems Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: CSCO) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.