CME Group Inc (CME) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to CME's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.35%.   Win rate: 90.91%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.489.   Maximum drawdown: -25.53% on 28 December 2022.
Mean CAGR: 99.23%. Time in market: 2795 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2522.71 on 01 October 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for CME Group

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 22 signal(s) occurring before 08 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (90.91% * 8.29%) + (4.55% * 0.95%) - (4.55% * 5.00%) = 7.35%.
Wins: 20 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

CME Group Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
30 June 2026   smart_toyLOW (39)    account_balanceLOW   50 Day Low $ 220.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
27 May 2026   smart_toyLOW (29)    account_balanceLOW   50 Day Low $ 280.14 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 April 2026   smart_toyLOW (27)    account_balanceLOW   50 Day Low $ 290.61 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
28 August 2025   smart_toyLOW (40)    account_balanceLOW   50 Day Low $ 268.16 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 July 2024   smart_toyLOW (33)     50 Day Low $ 193.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 June 2024   smart_toyLOW (55)     50 Day Low $ 202.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 May 2024   smart_toyLOW (72)     50 Day Low $ 206.76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
05 January 2024   smart_toyLOW (64)     50 Day Low $ 200.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
03 May 2023   smart_toyLOW (55)     50 Day Low $ 175.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 December 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)     50 Day Low $ 169.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 October 2022   smart_toyHIGH (93)     50 Day Low $ 177.88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 August 2022   smart_toyLOW (74)     50 Day Low $ 195.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 April 2022   smart_toyLOW (45)     50 Day Low $ 225.67 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
25 January 2022   smart_toyLOW (69)     50 Day Low $ 221.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
21 September 2021   smart_toyLOW (61)     50 Day Low $ 187.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 August 2021   smart_toyLOW (42)     50 Day Low $ 201.18 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 October 2020   smart_toyLOW (42)     50 Day Low $ 161.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 August 2020   smart_toyLOW (36)     50 Day Low $ 162.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 June 2020   smart_toyLOW (73)     50 Day Low $ 168.53 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
11 March 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (86)     50 Day Low $ 198.04 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 October 2019   smart_toyLOW (52)     50 Day Low $ 198.04 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
12 March 2019   smart_toyLOW (67)     50 Day Low $ 166.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 February 2019   smart_toyLOW (67)     50 Day Low $ 171.29 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 April 2018   smart_toyLOW (35)     50 Day Low $ 149.51 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 May 2017   smart_toyLOW (54)     50 Day Low $ 104.91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 April 2017   smart_toyLOW (40)     50 Day Low $ 105.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 October 2016   smart_toyLOW (60)     50 Day Low $ 90.33 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for CME Group Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: CME) was last updated 16 Jul 2026 03:30. Data for this stock is available from 11 Jul 2016 - 15 Jul 2026.