Chord Energy Corp (CHRD) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to CHRD's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 2.50%.   Win rate: 75.00%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.178.   Maximum drawdown: -49.58% on 07 April 2025.
Mean CAGR: 110.47%. Time in market: 855 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1069.53 on 08 June 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Chord Energy

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 4 signal(s) occurring before 29 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (75.00% * 9.49%) + (0% * 0%) - (25.00% * 18.47%) = 2.50%.
Wins: 3 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Chord Energy Analysis

Market sector: Energy.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
27 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 34 63 79 88 57 51 schedule schedule schedule
20 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 40 54 79 88 60 53 schedule schedule schedule
24 June 2026  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly) 54 26 100 88 82 50 schedule schedule schedule
18 June 2026  bubble_chart 50 Day Low 56 55 100 88 82 63 schedule schedule schedule
16 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 50 47 100 88 82 57 schedule schedule schedule
12 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 63 48 100 88 82 65 schedule schedule schedule
11 June 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound 45 50 100 88 82 55 schedule schedule schedule
09 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 36 53 100 88 82 49 schedule schedule schedule
08 June 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 49 63 100 88 82 62 schedule schedule schedule
28 May 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound 46 59 100 88 82 58 schedule schedule schedule

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
18 June 2026  bubble_chart 50 Day Low $ 124.26 56 55 100 88 82 63 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 November 2025 50 Day Low $ 89.09 59 59 100 87 87 66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 September 2025 50 Day Low $ 99.68 52 57 100 75 83 61 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 April 2025 50 Day Low $ 91.41 90 53 100 48 77 77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 February 2025 50 Day Low $ 109.88 48 60 100 50 81 56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 December 2024 50 Day Low $ 121.99 51 77 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 October 2024 50 Day Low $ 127.78 51 68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 September 2024 50 Day Low $ 140.03 56 61 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 August 2024 50 Day Low $ 160.30 63 66 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
06 June 2024 50 Day Low $ 168.99 52 50 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
16 January 2024 50 Day Low $ 155.14 59 61 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 March 2023 50 Day Low $ 126.06 77 67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 December 2022 50 Day Low $ 132.44 79 87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Chord Energy Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: CHRD) was last updated 06 Aug 2026 07:13. Data for this stock is available from 21 Sep 2022 - 05 Aug 2026.