Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to CHKP's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 6.39%.   Win rate: 71.43%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.22.   Maximum drawdown: -29.97% on 12 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 55.08%. Time in market: 2617 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1538.78 on 01 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Check Point Software Technologies

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 14 signal(s) occurring before 30 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (71.43% * 8.60%) + (28.57% * 0.87%) - (0% * 0%) = 6.39%.
Wins: 10 Breakevens: 4 Losses: 0

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Check Point Software Technologies Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
30 April 2026   HIGH     smart_toy0.457 Gap Down $ 117.69 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 March 2026   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.728 Gap Down $ 147.39 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 July 2025   LOW     smart_toy0.776 Gap Down $ 194.96 select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
29 October 2024   LOW     smart_toy0.699 Gap Down $ 183.44 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 April 2024   LOW     smart_toy0.707 Gap Down $ 153.62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 August 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.725 Gap Down $ 119.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
27 April 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.826 Gap Down $ 127.21 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 January 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.718 Gap Down $ 121.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 September 2020   LOW     smart_toy0.785 Gap Down $ 126.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
11 June 2020   LOW     smart_toy0.691 Gap Down $ 107.35 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2020   LOW     smart_toy0.499 Gap Down $ 112.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 May 2019   LOW     smart_toy0.619 Gap Down $ 115.18 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 April 2019   LOW     smart_toy0.709 Gap Down $ 120.07 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 November 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.927 Gap Down $ 108.75 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 April 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.633 Gap Down $ 95.42 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 November 2017   LOW     smart_toy0.79 Gap Down $ 105.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 July 2017   LOW     smart_toy0.562 Gap Down $ 108.10 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
09 June 2017   LOW     smart_toy0.631 Gap Down $ 113.03 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (exchange: XNAS symbol: CHKP) was last updated 08 May 2026 01:35. Data for this stock is available from 01 Feb 2016 - 07 May 2026.