Capitol Federal Financial (CFFN) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Simple Mean Reversion Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) Gap Up Rate of Change
Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR
Collapsed Bubble Collapsed Bubble (RoC) Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to CFFN's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -3.49%. Win rate: 63.64%. Sharpe Ratio: -2.473. Maximum drawdown: -61.96% on 24 October 2023.
Mean CAGR: 82.2%. Time in market: 9106 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $256.85 on 17 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Capitol Federal Financial

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 33 signal(s) occurring before 08 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (63.64% * 8.84%) + (15.15% * 1.23%) - (21.21% * 43.85%) = -3.49%.
Wins: 21 Breakevens: 5 Losses: 7

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Capitol Federal Financial Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
30 October 2025 smart_toyLOW (65) account_balanceLOW	50 Day Low	$ 6.01	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 April 2025 smart_toyLOW (57) account_balanceLOW sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 5.39	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
26 December 2024 smart_toyLOW (76) account_balanceLOW	50 Day Low	$ 5.94	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
03 October 2024 smart_toyLOW (53)	50 Day Low	$ 5.56	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 April 2024 smart_toyLOW (39)	50 Day Low	$ 5.51	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
26 February 2024 smart_toyLOW (50)	50 Day Low	$ 5.78	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
23 October 2023 smart_toyMEDIUM (82)	50 Day Low	$ 4.34	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 September 2023 smart_toyLOW (62)	50 Day Low	$ 5.04	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 August 2023 smart_toyLOW (51)	50 Day Low	$ 6.02	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
21 April 2023 smart_toyLOW (72)	50 Day Low	$ 6.58	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
07 March 2023 smart_toyLOW (71)	50 Day Low	$ 7.96	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
26 September 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (88) sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 8.84	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
29 June 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (87) sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 9.22	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
16 May 2022 smart_toyHIGH (94) sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 9.50	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
05 April 2022 smart_toyLOW (42) sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 10.74	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
03 February 2022 smart_toyLOW (46)	50 Day Low	$ 10.94	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
09 December 2021 smart_toyLOW (58)	50 Day Low	$ 11.33	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
15 September 2021 smart_toyLOW (60)	50 Day Low	$ 10.86	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default
19 July 2021 smart_toyLOW (41)	50 Day Low	$ 11.15	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default
10 June 2021 smart_toyLOW (34)	50 Day Low	$ 12.40	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
29 April 2021 smart_toyLOW (32)	50 Day Low	$ 12.86	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
22 September 2020 smart_toyLOW (74)	50 Day Low	$ 8.78	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 August 2020 smart_toyLOW (48)	50 Day Low	$ 9.30	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 July 2020 smart_toyMEDIUM (82)	50 Day Low	$ 10.10	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
14 May 2020 smart_toyMEDIUM (86) sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 10.19	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 February 2020 smart_toyLOW (74)	50 Day Low	$ 12.91	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
02 January 2020 smart_toyLOW (50)	50 Day Low	$ 13.52	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
20 March 2019 smart_toyLOW (70)	50 Day Low	$ 11.94	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
26 October 2018 smart_toyMEDIUM (85) sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 10.76	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 September 2018 smart_toyLOW (36)	50 Day Low	$ 11.46	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
23 March 2018 smart_toyLOW (51)	50 Day Low	$ 10.72	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
31 January 2018 smart_toyLOW (38)	50 Day Low	$ 11.22	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
08 November 2017 smart_toyLOW (49)	50 Day Low	$ 11.12	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box
17 August 2017 smart_toyLOW (49)	50 Day Low	$ 11.21	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
12 May 2017 smart_toyLOW (60)	50 Day Low	$ 11.55	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
06 March 2017 smart_toyLOW (39)	50 Day Low	$ 12.13	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
27 January 2017 smart_toyLOW (45)	50 Day Low	$ 12.67	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box

The data for Capitol Federal Financial (exchange: XNAS symbol: CFFN) was last updated 16 Jul 2026 03:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 15 Jul 2026.