Capitol Federal Financial (CFFN) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to CFFN's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -3.49%.   Win rate: 63.64%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.473.   Maximum drawdown: -61.96% on 24 October 2023.
Mean CAGR: 82.2%. Time in market: 9106 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $256.85 on 17 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Capitol Federal Financial

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 33 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (63.64% * 8.84%) + (15.15% * 1.23%) - (21.21% * 43.85%) = -3.49%.
Wins: 21 Breakevens: 5 Losses: 7

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Capitol Federal Financial Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
30 October 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.679  factory0.638   50 Day Low $ 6.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.945  factory0.696   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 5.39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.718  factory0.57   50 Day Low $ 5.94 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 October 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.792  factory0.545   50 Day Low $ 5.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 April 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.569  factory0.375   50 Day Low $ 5.51 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 February 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.491  factory0.594   50 Day Low $ 5.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.753  factory0.962   50 Day Low $ 4.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.778  factory0.923   50 Day Low $ 5.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 August 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.797  factory0.84   50 Day Low $ 6.02 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
21 April 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.532  factory0.621   50 Day Low $ 6.58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 March 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.55  factory0.817   50 Day Low $ 7.96 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
26 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.968  factory0.937   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 8.84 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
29 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.954  factory0.932   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 9.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
16 May 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.974  factory0.885   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 9.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 April 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.963  factory0.417   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 10.74 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 February 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.876  factory0.501   50 Day Low $ 10.94 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 December 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.544  factory0.57   50 Day Low $ 11.33 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
15 September 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.812  factory0.597   50 Day Low $ 10.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
19 July 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.607  factory0.603   50 Day Low $ 11.15 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
10 June 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.687  factory0.465   50 Day Low $ 12.40 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
29 April 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.664  factory0.349   50 Day Low $ 12.86 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
22 September 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.671  factory0.865   50 Day Low $ 8.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 August 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.785  factory0.668   50 Day Low $ 9.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 July 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.681  factory0.637   50 Day Low $ 10.10 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 May 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.824  factory0.832   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 10.19 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 February 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.635  factory0.684   50 Day Low $ 12.91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 January 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.76  factory0.657   50 Day Low $ 13.52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 March 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.682  factory0.735   50 Day Low $ 11.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.817  factory0.884   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 10.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 September 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.415  factory0.584   50 Day Low $ 11.46 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 March 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.874  factory0.541   50 Day Low $ 10.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 January 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.646  factory0.541   50 Day Low $ 11.22 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 November 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.634  factory0.61   50 Day Low $ 11.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
17 August 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.725  factory0.485   50 Day Low $ 11.21 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
12 May 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.729  factory0.642   50 Day Low $ 11.55 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 March 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.635  factory0.318   50 Day Low $ 12.13 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 January 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.683  factory0.473   50 Day Low $ 12.67 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Capitol Federal Financial (exchange: XNAS symbol: CFFN) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 29 May 2026.