Commerce Bancshares Inc (CBSH) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to CBSH's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 5.39%.   Win rate: 76.92%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.023.   Maximum drawdown: -40.23% on 25 May 2023.
Mean CAGR: 109.11%. Time in market: 4317 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1525.98 on 27 November 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Commerce Bancshares

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 26 signal(s) occurring before 29 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (76.92% * 8.69%) + (19.23% * 0.54%) - (3.85% * 36.29%) = 5.39%.
Wins: 20 Breakevens: 5 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Commerce Bancshares Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
17 April 2026 Mega Dump Lite 65 76 90 88 56 77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 March 2026 Mega Dump Lite 79 72 90 88 60 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 March 2026 Rate of Change 96 69 90 88 60 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 March 2026 Super Oversold (26) 82 77 90 88 62 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 March 2026 Williams %R (Weekly) 67 74 90 88 62 77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 March 2026 52 Week Low 84 64 90 89 62 84 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 March 2026 26 Week Low 71 64 90 89 62 76 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 February 2026 50 Day Low 69 63 90 87 62 75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
23 February 2026 Gap Down 56 61 90 87 62 66 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
02 December 2025 Williams %R (Weekly) 82 68 91 84 67 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
24 February 2026 50 Day Low $ 52.22 69 63 90 87 62 75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
18 November 2025 50 Day Low $ 51.70 82 60 91 85 71 81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box schedule
16 October 2025 50 Day Low $ 54.04 75 77 91 73 65 82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule
10 September 2025 50 Day Low $ 60.02 42 80 90 74 56 61 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
01 August 2025 50 Day Low $ 60.20 45 79 91 75 57 62 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 March 2025 50 Day Low $ 61.20 68 65 91 69 65 73 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
10 January 2025 50 Day Low $ 61.54 50 78 90 68 72 65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
30 September 2024 50 Day Low $ 59.40 63 74 91 63 73 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 October 2023 50 Day Low $ 43.49 72 87 96 69 85 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 September 2023 50 Day Low $ 44.63 60 87 96 70 87 73 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 June 2023 50 Day Low $ 44.22 78 77 100 71 92 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 May 2023 50 Day Low $ 45.47 87 71 100 75 92 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 April 2023 50 Day Low $ 56.16 80 58 100 78 93 77 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 March 2023 50 Day Low $ 64.38 84 65 100 79 88 82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 December 2022 50 Day Low $ 66.58 77 83 100 70 75 84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 September 2022 50 Day Low $ 66.96 91 96 100 67 74 96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
13 June 2022 50 Day Low $ 64.80 90 95 100 69 77 95 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
10 May 2022 50 Day Low $ 68.43 85 85 100 73 84 89 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
01 December 2021 50 Day Low $ 65.73 72 84 100 65 82 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 September 2021 50 Day Low $ 67.18 60 69 100 73 84 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
19 July 2021 50 Day Low $ 71.20 51 48 100 53 85 55 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 June 2021 50 Day Low $ 75.18 41 70 100 58 88 55 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
22 September 2020 50 Day Low $ 54.42 70 90 100 77 91 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 April 2020 50 Day Low $ 48.40 91 92 100 80 94 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 February 2020 50 Day Low $ 64.77 80 77 100 81 89 84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 August 2019 50 Day Low $ 53.28 74 73 100 83 86 80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 March 2019 50 Day Low $ 53.22 74 52 100 89 87 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
19 December 2018 50 Day Low $ 52.26 92 95 100 84 90 97 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
27 September 2018 50 Day Low $ 58.60 41 73 100 88 90 58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 August 2017 50 Day Low $ 44.67 80 43 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 May 2017 50 Day Low $ 43.74 89 50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 March 2017 50 Day Low $ 44.62 88 44 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
27 June 2016 50 Day Low $ 34.57 90 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 January 2016 50 Day Low $ 31.42 71 73 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Commerce Bancshares Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: CBSH) was last updated 06 Aug 2026 07:13. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 05 Aug 2026.