Commerce Bancshares Inc (CBSH) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to CBSH's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.51%.   Win rate: 71.43%.   Sharpe Ratio: 0.352.   Maximum drawdown: -33.86% on 01 November 2023.
Mean CAGR: 149.37%. Time in market: 1054 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1305.42 on 15 November 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Commerce Bancshares

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 7 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (71.43% * 10.44%) + (28.57% * 0.18%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.51%.
Wins: 5 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Commerce Bancshares Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
17 April 2026 Mega Dump Lite 65 76 90 88 56 77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 March 2026 Mega Dump Lite 79 72 90 88 60 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 March 2026 Rate of Change 96 69 90 88 60 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 March 2026 Super Oversold (26) 82 77 90 88 62 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 March 2026 Williams %R (Weekly) 67 74 90 88 62 77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 March 2026 52 Week Low 84 64 90 89 62 84 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 March 2026 26 Week Low 71 64 90 89 62 76 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 February 2026 50 Day Low 69 63 90 87 62 75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
23 February 2026 Gap Down 56 61 90 87 62 66 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
02 December 2025 Williams %R (Weekly) 82 68 91 84 67 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
02 March 2026 52 Week Low $ 51.06 84 64 90 89 62 84 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
18 November 2025 52 Week Low $ 51.70 79 60 91 85 71 79 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box schedule
16 October 2025 52 Week Low $ 54.04 85 77 91 73 65 87 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule
23 October 2023 52 Week Low $ 42.40 81 83 96 69 85 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 June 2023 52 Week Low $ 44.22 74 77 100 71 92 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 May 2023 52 Week Low $ 45.47 83 71 100 75 92 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 April 2023 52 Week Low $ 56.08 76 60 100 78 93 76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 March 2023 52 Week Low $ 62.47 87 69 100 79 88 86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 June 2022 52 Week Low $ 65.63 97 87 100 69 77 97 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
12 March 2020 52 Week Low $ 50.29 99 96 100 81 91 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Commerce Bancshares Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: CBSH) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.