Cal-Maine Foods Inc (CALM) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to CALM's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 6.36%.   Win rate: 75.00%.   Sharpe Ratio: -4.518.   Maximum drawdown: -32.06% on 12 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 101.85%. Time in market: 5495 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2081.18 on 17 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Cal-Maine Foods

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 28 signal(s) occurring before 22 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (75.00% * 8.94%) + (17.86% * 1.46%) - (7.14% * 8.47%) = 6.36%.
Wins: 21 Breakevens: 5 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Cal-Maine Foods Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Score Performance
5% 6% 7.5%
13 July 2026 Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (49)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
23 June 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound   smart_toyLOW (52)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
04 May 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (57)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 April 2026  bubble_chart 50 Day Low   smart_toyLOW (50)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 March 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (58)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 March 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (45)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 February 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (46)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 January 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (72)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 January 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (56)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 January 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (26)   smart_toyLOW (74)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
13 July 2026   smart_toyLOW (49)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 85.88 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 September 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (56)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 113.32 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 July 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (47)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 112.52 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 March 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (61)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 86.05 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 December 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (69)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 109.02 select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule schedule
05 June 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (53)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 59.41 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 April 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (29)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 55.99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 October 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (60)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 43.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 June 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (53)     Gap Down $ 48.84 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 April 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (48)     Gap Down $ 58.94 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 February 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (68)     Gap Down $ 55.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
29 December 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (74)     Gap Down $ 56.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
11 November 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (57)     Gap Down $ 55.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
30 September 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)     Gap Down $ 57.27 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
29 December 2021   smart_toyLOW (42)     Gap Down $ 35.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 September 2021   smart_toyLOW (62)     Gap Down $ 36.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 August 2020   smart_toyLOW (54)     Gap Down $ 42.50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 April 2020   smart_toyLOW (72)     Gap Down $ 42.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 January 2020   smart_toyLOW (45)     Gap Down $ 38.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
22 May 2019   smart_toyLOW (56)     Gap Down $ 40.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
07 January 2019   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)     Gap Down $ 42.03 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 June 2018   smart_toyLOW (34)     Gap Down $ 47.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
29 March 2018   smart_toyLOW (51)     Gap Down $ 43.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
05 January 2018   smart_toyLOW (27)     Gap Down $ 40.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 December 2017   smart_toyLOW (44)     Gap Down $ 47.60 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
10 July 2017   smart_toyLOW (49)     Gap Down $ 36.42 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 May 2017   smart_toyLOW (49)     Gap Down $ 38.07 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 March 2017   smart_toyLOW (57)     Gap Down $ 37.33 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 November 2016   smart_toyLOW (70)     Gap Down $ 40.20 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
01 September 2016   smart_toyLOW (64)     Gap Down $ 44.09 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 July 2016   smart_toyLOW (59)     Gap Down $ 42.05 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 May 2016   smart_toyLOW (61)     Gap Down $ 48.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 February 2016   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)     Gap Down $ 46.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for Cal-Maine Foods Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: CALM) was last updated 30 Jul 2026 04:37. Data for this stock is available from 01 Feb 2016 - 29 Jul 2026.