Cal-Maine Foods Inc (CALM) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to CALM's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.65%.   Win rate: 96.55%.   Sharpe Ratio: -3.662.   Maximum drawdown: -30.76% on 25 August 2017.
Mean CAGR: 133.17%. Time in market: 3056 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3984.30 on 10 October 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Cal-Maine Foods

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 29 signal(s) occurring before 22 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (96.55% * 8.96%) + (3.45% * 0.04%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.65%.
Wins: 28 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Cal-Maine Foods Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
08 April 2026  bubble_chart   LOW     smart_toy0.582 50 Day Low $ 77.14 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 January 2026  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.955 50 Day Low $ 78.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
02 December 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.562 50 Day Low $ 82.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
28 October 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.642 50 Day Low $ 89.30 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 September 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.43 50 Day Low $ 99.71 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 February 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.771 50 Day Low $ 93.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 April 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.622 50 Day Low $ 55.99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 October 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.864 50 Day Low $ 43.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 June 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.928 50 Day Low $ 45.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 April 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.649 50 Day Low $ 50.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 January 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.674 50 Day Low $ 53.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
10 June 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.976 50 Day Low $ 44.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 July 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.539 50 Day Low $ 34.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
27 April 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.592 50 Day Low $ 37.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
19 January 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.838 50 Day Low $ 36.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 December 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.779 50 Day Low $ 36.67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 October 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.6 50 Day Low $ 38.18 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
31 August 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.841 50 Day Low $ 39.83 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 February 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.776 50 Day Low $ 35.27 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
06 January 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.674 50 Day Low $ 38.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
02 October 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.564 50 Day Low $ 37.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
23 May 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.506 50 Day Low $ 39.61 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
15 April 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.624 50 Day Low $ 41.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 December 2018   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.928 50 Day Low $ 42.53 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 October 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.498 50 Day Low $ 43.31 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
02 July 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.698 50 Day Low $ 45.20 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
06 February 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.802 50 Day Low $ 39.39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 January 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.676 50 Day Low $ 40.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 August 2017   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.68 50 Day Low $ 33.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 July 2017   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.586 50 Day Low $ 35.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 March 2017   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.763 50 Day Low $ 36.55 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
07 February 2017   LOW     smart_toy0.772 50 Day Low $ 38.53 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
04 November 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.877 50 Day Low $ 36.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 September 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.418 50 Day Low $ 39.92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
10 June 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.507 50 Day Low $ 41.73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
09 May 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.515 50 Day Low $ 48.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Cal-Maine Foods Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: CALM) was last updated 30 Apr 2026 07:48. Data for this stock is available from 01 Feb 2016 - 29 Apr 2026.