Blackbaud Inc (BLKB) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to BLKB's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 9.67%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 1.302.   Maximum drawdown: -41.36% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 200.68%. Time in market: 1232 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1727.20 on 04 October 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Blackbaud

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 17 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 9.67%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.67%.
Wins: 17 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Blackbaud Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
12 May 2026   HIGH   smart_toy0.859   Super Oversold (MD) $ 33.63 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 May 2026   HIGH   smart_toy0.859   Super Oversold (26) $ 33.63 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 April 2026   HIGH   smart_toy0.503   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (RoC) $ 35.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
09 April 2026   HIGH   smart_toy0.87   Super Oversold (52) $ 36.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
30 March 2026   HIGH   smart_toy0.926   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 37.89 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.499   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 41.90 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.832   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (RoC) $ 41.90 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.832   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 41.90 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
11 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.851   Super Oversold (MD) $ 45.20 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 February 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.891   Super Oversold (52) $ 46.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
04 February 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.986   Super Oversold (26) $ 47.95 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 February 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.986   Super Oversold (52) $ 47.95 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 February 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.938   Super Oversold (52) $ 50.22 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
29 January 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.849   Super Oversold (26) $ 53.97 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 February 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.732   Super Oversold (26) $ 68.62 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
21 February 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.851   Super Oversold (26) $ 67.48 select_check_box schedule schedule schedule schedule
20 February 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.851   Super Oversold (26) $ 67.36 select_check_box schedule schedule schedule schedule
21 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.931   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 44.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 September 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.883   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 45.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 September 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.755   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 47.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 May 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.981   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 49.73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 May 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.929   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 51.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 February 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.973   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 57.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 February 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.973   Super Oversold (GD) $ 57.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
16 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.994   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 49.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.998   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 55.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 February 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.842   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 67.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 February 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.684   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 70.21 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 December 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.844   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 61.49 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 December 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.809   Super Oversold (MD) $ 64.19 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 November 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.779   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (RoC) $ 67.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 November 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.779   Super Oversold (MD) $ 67.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.933   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (RoC) $ 72.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
09 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.933   Super Oversold (26) $ 72.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Blackbaud Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: BLKB) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Feb 2016 - 15 May 2026.