Blackbaud Inc (BLKB) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to BLKB's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 9.47%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 3.126.   Maximum drawdown: -35.42% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 155.24%. Time in market: 690 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1495.70 on 04 October 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Blackbaud

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 8 signal(s) occurring before 17 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 9.47%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.47%.
Wins: 8 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Blackbaud Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Score Performance
5% 6% 7.5%
08 July 2026 Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (74)    computerLOW   schedule schedule schedule
07 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (72)    computerLOW   schedule schedule schedule
24 June 2026 Oversold Rebound   smart_toyLOW (62)    computerLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 June 2026 Simple Mean Reversion   smart_toyHIGH (97)    computerHIGH   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 June 2026 Super Oversold (52)   smart_toyLOW (72)    computerLOW   schedule schedule schedule
17 June 2026 52 Week Low   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)    computerLOW   schedule schedule schedule
17 June 2026 26 Week Low   smart_toyLOW (60)    computerLOW   schedule schedule schedule
17 June 2026 50 Day Low   smart_toyLOW (51)    computerLOW   schedule schedule schedule
15 June 2026 Williams %R (Weekly)   smart_toyLOW (50)    computerLOW   schedule schedule schedule
08 June 2026 Super Oversold (MD)   smart_toyLOW (75)    computerLOW   schedule schedule schedule

Simple Mean Reversion Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Simple Mean Reversion entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
23 June 2026   smart_toyHIGH (97)    computerHIGH   Simple Mean Reversion $ 27.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
05 May 2026   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)    computerLOW   Simple Mean Reversion $ 37.12 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 March 2026   smart_toyHIGH (94)    computerLOW   Simple Mean Reversion $ 44.68 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
20 September 2022   smart_toyHIGH (99)     Simple Mean Reversion $ 45.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 May 2022   smart_toyHIGH (99)     Simple Mean Reversion $ 49.73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 May 2020   smart_toyHIGH (91)     Simple Mean Reversion $ 53.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 April 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (86)     Simple Mean Reversion $ 53.68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 March 2020   smart_toyHIGH (99)     Simple Mean Reversion $ 63.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
18 December 2018   smart_toyHIGH (98)     Simple Mean Reversion $ 61.49 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 November 2018   smart_toyHIGH (97)     Simple Mean Reversion $ 70.75 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 October 2018   smart_toyLOW (76)     Simple Mean Reversion $ 74.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Blackbaud Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: BLKB) was last updated 27 Jul 2026 04:58. Data for this stock is available from 01 Feb 2016 - 24 Jul 2026.