Blackbaud Inc (BLKB) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to BLKB's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.02%.   Win rate: 90.32%.   Sharpe Ratio: -5.54.   Maximum drawdown: -47.23% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 115.95%. Time in market: 3708 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $4166.34 on 15 April 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Blackbaud

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 31 signal(s) occurring before 30 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (90.32% * 8.58%) + (9.68% * 2.81%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.02%.
Wins: 28 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Blackbaud Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
30 April 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.59 Gap Down $ 38.37 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
27 March 2026   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.953 Gap Down $ 38.30 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 February 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.855 Gap Down $ 47.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 January 2026   LOW     smart_toy0.912 Gap Down $ 58.16 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
08 December 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.549 Gap Down $ 62.32 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 February 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.805 Gap Down $ 73.28 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 October 2024   LOW     smart_toy0.55 Gap Down $ 74.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
02 April 2024   LOW     smart_toy0.614 Gap Down $ 73.03 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
14 February 2023   LOW     smart_toy0.691 Gap Down $ 59.03 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 September 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.788 Gap Down $ 48.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 August 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.849 Gap Down $ 59.27 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
08 June 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.957 Gap Down $ 62.53 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 May 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.789 Gap Down $ 54.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 March 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.919 Gap Down $ 60.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 January 2022   LOW     smart_toy0.646 Gap Down $ 74.68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 December 2021   LOW     smart_toy0.697 Gap Down $ 74.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
27 October 2021   LOW     smart_toy0.854 Gap Down $ 71.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 April 2021   LOW     smart_toy0.596 Gap Down $ 72.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box disabled_by_default
18 March 2021   LOW     smart_toy0.578 Gap Down $ 70.42 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 October 2020   LOW     smart_toy0.696 Gap Down $ 52.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 May 2020   LOW     smart_toy0.907 Gap Down $ 60.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 April 2020   LOW   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.966 Gap Down $ 50.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 March 2020   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.996 Gap Down $ 61.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 February 2020   LOW     smart_toy0.749 Gap Down $ 78.02 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 May 2019   LOW     smart_toy0.669 Gap Down $ 75.19 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 March 2019   LOW     smart_toy0.634 Gap Down $ 77.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 February 2019   LOW     smart_toy0.856 Gap Down $ 68.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 January 2019   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.992 Gap Down $ 61.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2018   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.819 Gap Down $ 69.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 October 2018   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.933 Gap Down $ 72.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
25 June 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.727 Gap Down $ 103.69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
01 May 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.632 Gap Down $ 98.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
29 November 2017   LOW     smart_toy0.456 Gap Down $ 99.60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
29 June 2017   LOW     smart_toy0.67 Gap Down $ 85.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 October 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.872 Gap Down $ 61.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 September 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.731 Gap Down $ 66.03 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
27 July 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.979 Gap Down $ 67.21 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
28 April 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.583 Gap Down $ 59.69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Blackbaud Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: BLKB) was last updated 08 May 2026 01:35. Data for this stock is available from 01 Feb 2016 - 07 May 2026.