Blackbaud Inc (BLKB) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to BLKB's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 3.35%.   Win rate: 70.37%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.06.   Maximum drawdown: -57.36% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 119.78%. Time in market: 5450 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1720.37 on 15 April 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Blackbaud

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 27 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (70.37% * 9.20%) + (18.52% * 1.06%) - (11.11% * 29.93%) = 3.35%.
Wins: 19 Breakevens: 5 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Blackbaud Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
12 May 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.859  factory0.741   50 Day Low $ 33.63 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 March 2026   HIGH   smart_toy0.926  factory0.712   50 Day Low $ 37.89 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 February 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.891  factory0.432   50 Day Low $ 46.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
20 January 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.827  factory0.467   50 Day Low $ 54.24 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.593  factory0.599   50 Day Low $ 60.88 select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 March 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.941  factory0.72   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 62.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
18 February 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.805  factory0.602   50 Day Low $ 73.28 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.495  factory0.754   50 Day Low $ 74.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
30 October 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.55  factory0.658   50 Day Low $ 74.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
25 June 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.8  factory0.47   50 Day Low $ 75.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
13 February 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.903  factory0.758   50 Day Low $ 71.44 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.855  factory0.855   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 65.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.73  factory0.731   50 Day Low $ 71.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 February 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.577  factory0.818   50 Day Low $ 56.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.991  factory0.817   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 44.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 August 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.776  factory0.831   50 Day Low $ 53.91 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 April 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.786  factory0.403   50 Day Low $ 56.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
18 February 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.8  factory0.423   50 Day Low $ 63.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 January 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.682  factory0.622   50 Day Low $ 69.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 August 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.772  factory0.458   50 Day Low $ 69.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 May 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.599  factory0.284   50 Day Low $ 67.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 November 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.836  factory0.639   50 Day Low $ 48.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 October 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.863  factory0.718   50 Day Low $ 54.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 February 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.692  factory0.63   50 Day Low $ 77.17 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 January 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.809  factory0.599   50 Day Low $ 77.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 December 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.672  factory0.668   50 Day Low $ 79.47 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 October 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.761  factory0.65   50 Day Low $ 86.48 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 May 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.63  factory0.583   50 Day Low $ 73.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 December 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.784  factory0.881   50 Day Low $ 58.77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 November 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.779  factory0.822   50 Day Low $ 67.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.76  factory0.702   50 Day Low $ 93.40 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 August 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.704  factory0.74   50 Day Low $ 96.55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 May 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.667  factory0.57   50 Day Low $ 95.87 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 January 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.781  factory0.62   50 Day Low $ 92.11 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 August 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.735  factory0.473   50 Day Low $ 82.85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 October 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.871  factory0.78   50 Day Low $ 62.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 September 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.816  factory0.653   50 Day Low $ 64.07 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Blackbaud Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: BLKB) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Feb 2016 - 29 May 2026.