ASML Holding NV (ASML) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to ASML's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.17%.   Win rate: 94.12%.   Sharpe Ratio: 0.007.   Maximum drawdown: -46.64% on 13 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 141.67%. Time in market: 1489 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2727.92 on 28 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for ASML

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 17 signal(s) occurring before 22 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (94.12% * 8.68%) + (5.88% * 0.01%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.17%.
Wins: 16 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

ASML Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
30 March 2026  bubble_chart   LOW     smart_toy0.809 50 Day Low $ 1286.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
25 July 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.634 50 Day Low $ 710.19 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 March 2025   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.912 50 Day Low $ 679.86 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 November 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.851 50 Day Low $ 657.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 October 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.885 50 Day Low $ 697.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
05 September 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.566 50 Day Low $ 795.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
19 July 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.679 50 Day Low $ 905.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 April 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.709 50 Day Low $ 895.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 September 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.749 50 Day Low $ 612.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 August 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.736 50 Day Low $ 674.67 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 September 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.969 50 Day Low $ 434.87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 June 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.962 50 Day Low $ 495.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 April 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.811 50 Day Low $ 572.79 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
14 February 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.913 50 Day Low $ 627.03 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
10 January 2022   LOW     smart_toy0.682 50 Day Low $ 721.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 October 2021   LOW     smart_toy0.742 50 Day Low $ 720.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 September 2020   LOW     smart_toy0.632 50 Day Low $ 345.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 February 2020   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.847 50 Day Low $ 276.87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 December 2018   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.972 50 Day Low $ 143.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 November 2018   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.902 50 Day Low $ 155.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 October 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.67 50 Day Low $ 169.55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 September 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.794 50 Day Low $ 183.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 April 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.631 50 Day Low $ 184.99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
13 October 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.663 50 Day Low $ 96.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for ASML Holding NV (exchange: XNAS symbol: ASML) was last updated 30 Apr 2026 06:51. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 29 Apr 2026.