ASML Holding NV (ASML) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to ASML's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 10.15%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 5.504.   Maximum drawdown: -32.76% on 13 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 184.43%. Time in market: 317 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1498.88 on 04 October 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for ASML

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 5 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 10.15%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 10.15%.
Wins: 5 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

ASML Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
31 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 85 81 93 92 56 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 54 94 93 92 56 74 schedule schedule schedule
07 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 64 90 93 92 61 80 schedule schedule schedule
26 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 91 74 93 92 61 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 68 71 93 92 61 77 schedule schedule schedule
18 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 86 83 93 92 61 92 schedule schedule schedule
15 June 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 85 75 93 92 61 89 schedule schedule schedule
09 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 75 78 93 92 61 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 June 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound 64 85 93 92 61 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 47 81 93 92 61 66 schedule schedule schedule

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
03 April 2025  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 636.38 75 93 95 75 67 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 November 2024  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 658.15 80 94 95 76 69 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 September 2022  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 414.68 98 93 100 77 76 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 June 2022  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 495.82 96 95 100 76 76 99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 April 2022  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 572.79 94 95 100 83 82 99 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
19 December 2018 52 Week Low $ 153.55 99 96 100 89 97 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 October 2018 52 Week Low $ 159.24 92 88 100 97 95 96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for ASML Holding NV (exchange: XNAS symbol: ASML) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 12 Aug 2026.