Amazon.com Inc (AMZN) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results laptop_car

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to AMZN's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 9.06%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.267.   Maximum drawdown: -36.15% on 28 December 2022.
Mean CAGR: 97.75%. Time in market: 1767 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3206.85 on 01 November 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Amazon.com

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 16 signal(s) occurring before 22 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 9.06%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.06%.
Wins: 16 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Amazon.com Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
27 March 2026   LOW     smart_toy0.941 Gap Down $ 202.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 August 2025   LOW     smart_toy0.914 Gap Down $ 215.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 March 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.966 Gap Down $ 195.57 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 February 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.951 Gap Down $ 230.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 December 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.959 Gap Down $ 225.64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 October 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.807 Gap Down $ 123.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 July 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.945 Gap Down $ 132.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 June 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.973 Gap Down $ 124.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 February 2023  bubble_chart   LOW     smart_toy0.932 Gap Down $ 104.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 October 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.993 Gap Down $ 115.83 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
13 September 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.962 Gap Down $ 128.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 July 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.991 Gap Down $ 115.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 July 2021  bubble_chart   LOW     smart_toy0.848 Gap Down $ 166.89 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
03 September 2020  bubble_chart   LOW     smart_toy0.95 Gap Down $ 171.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 May 2020   LOW     smart_toy0.967 Gap Down $ 115.57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2020   LOW     smart_toy0.68 Gap Down $ 100.31 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 December 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.749 Gap Down $ 85.61 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
24 October 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.901 Gap Down $ 85.95 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 February 2018   LOW     smart_toy0.664 Gap Down $ 70.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 October 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.825 Gap Down $ 38.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 January 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.943 Gap Down $ 30.07 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Amazon.com Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: AMZN) was last updated 30 Apr 2026 07:47. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 29 Apr 2026.