Amazon.com Inc (AMZN) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results laptop_car

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to AMZN's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.09%.   Win rate: 95.24%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.512.   Maximum drawdown: -50.30% on 28 December 2022.
Mean CAGR: 165.36%. Time in market: 1899 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2619.23 on 01 November 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Amazon.com

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 21 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (95.24% * 9.03%) + (0% * 0%) - (4.76% * 10.69%) = 8.09%.
Wins: 20 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Amazon.com Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
06 February 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.952  factory0.696   50 Day Low $ 206.51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 October 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.855  factory0.678   50 Day Low $ 215.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 March 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.969  factory0.824   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 189.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 February 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.811  factory0.733   50 Day Low $ 215.08 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 August 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.508  factory0.775   50 Day Low $ 167.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.816  factory0.76   50 Day Low $ 125.87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 December 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.981  factory0.761   50 Day Low $ 86.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 November 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.954  factory0.701   50 Day Low $ 100.39 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 September 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.998  factory0.787   50 Day Low $ 113.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
13 June 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.995  factory0.877   50 Day Low $ 103.93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 April 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.989  factory0.798   50 Day Low $ 127.06 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
08 March 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.997  factory0.762   50 Day Low $ 136.35 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 January 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.589  factory0.736   50 Day Low $ 165.62 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 August 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.928  factory0.629   50 Day Low $ 161.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
25 February 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.937  factory0.485   50 Day Low $ 154.85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 September 2020  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.77  factory0.581   50 Day Low $ 146.67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.997  factory0.91   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 89.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 October 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.699  factory0.793   50 Day Low $ 86.02 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 August 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.799  factory0.886   50 Day Low $ 87.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 June 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.897  factory0.927   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 86.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 December 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.992  factory0.935   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 67.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 November 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.972  factory0.9   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 73.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 October 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.831  factory0.71   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 86.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 September 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.515  factory0.671   50 Day Low $ 47.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 August 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.942  factory0.607   50 Day Low $ 48.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 November 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.842  factory0.751   50 Day Low $ 36.87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Amazon.com Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: AMZN) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 29 May 2026.