AMGEN Inc (AMGN) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to AMGN's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.88%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.108.   Maximum drawdown: -19.14% on 02 June 2023.
Mean CAGR: 117.36%. Time in market: 2075 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3508.56 on 03 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for AMGEN Inc

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 24 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.88%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.88%.
Wins: 24 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

AMGEN Inc Analysis

Market sector: Biotech.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
29 April 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.803   50 Day Low $ 336.52 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 September 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.537   50 Day Low $ 278.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 May 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.772   50 Day Low $ 266.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.977   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 280.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.435   50 Day Low $ 271.79 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
30 October 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.879   50 Day Low $ 313.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 September 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.579   50 Day Low $ 316.39 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 April 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.661   50 Day Low $ 267.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 March 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.667   50 Day Low $ 274.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 May 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.599   50 Day Low $ 225.07 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 February 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.376   50 Day Low $ 234.84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
24 January 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.538   50 Day Low $ 260.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.739   50 Day Low $ 237.81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 November 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.71   50 Day Low $ 202.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 October 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.624   50 Day Low $ 204.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 September 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.769   50 Day Low $ 221.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 August 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.631   50 Day Low $ 233.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 June 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.686   50 Day Low $ 234.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 October 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.895   50 Day Low $ 231.90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.959   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 196.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 January 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.777   50 Day Low $ 214.43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
18 April 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.645   50 Day Low $ 173.95 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 December 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.941   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 174.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.93   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 182.89 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
04 May 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.66   50 Day Low $ 156.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 March 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.833   50 Day Low $ 160.15 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 November 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.788   50 Day Low $ 158.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
22 May 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.698   50 Day Low $ 140.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 April 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.72   50 Day Low $ 147.25 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.832   50 Day Low $ 149.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
24 June 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.581   50 Day Low $ 131.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for AMGEN Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: AMGN) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 15 May 2026.