AMGEN Inc (AMGN) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to AMGN's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.88%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.108.   Maximum drawdown: -19.14% on 02 June 2023.
Mean CAGR: 117.36%. Time in market: 2075 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3508.56 on 03 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for AMGEN Inc

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 24 signal(s) occurring before 29 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.88%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.88%.
Wins: 24 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

AMGEN Inc Analysis

Market sector: Biotech.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
08 June 2026 Oversold Rebound 53 85 100 79 81 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
04 June 2026 Oversold Rebound 46 89 100 79 81 65 schedule schedule schedule
02 June 2026 Double Seven 38 85 100 79 81 58 schedule schedule schedule
01 June 2026 Double Seven 44 76 100 79 81 61 schedule schedule schedule
07 May 2026 Mega Dump Lite 39 85 100 77 80 59 schedule schedule schedule
01 May 2026 Gap Down 44 90 100 77 80 64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 May 2026 Williams %R (Weekly) 55 90 100 77 80 72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 May 2026 Double Seven 32 90 100 77 80 53 schedule schedule schedule
29 April 2026 50 Day Low 34 82 100 77 80 54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 April 2026 Double Seven 37 85 100 77 80 57 schedule schedule schedule

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
29 April 2026 50 Day Low $ 336.52 34 82 100 77 80 54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
12 September 2025 50 Day Low $ 278.72 38 80 100 63 82 55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 May 2025 50 Day Low $ 266.06 67 62 100 63 85 70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 April 2025 50 Day Low $ 280.00 91 93 100 61 86 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 December 2024 50 Day Low $ 271.79 68 85 100 67 89 78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
30 October 2024 50 Day Low $ 313.74 71 73 100 63 90 76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 September 2024 50 Day Low $ 316.39 69 76 100 60 90 75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 April 2024 50 Day Low $ 267.20 59 89 100 63 92 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 March 2024 50 Day Low $ 274.58 63 85 100 81 92 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 May 2023 50 Day Low $ 225.07 56 86 100 84 96 72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 February 2023 50 Day Low $ 234.84 74 83 100 82 86 83 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
24 January 2023 50 Day Low $ 260.78 61 83 100 82 86 75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 September 2022 50 Day Low $ 237.81 72 91 100 80 87 84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 November 2021 50 Day Low $ 202.92 56 87 100 80 90 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 October 2021 50 Day Low $ 204.66 73 88 100 84 91 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 September 2021 50 Day Low $ 221.10 38 77 100 86 92 57 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 August 2021 50 Day Low $ 233.34 39 84 100 73 92 58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 June 2021 50 Day Low $ 234.70 37 76 100 77 92 55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 October 2020 50 Day Low $ 231.90 57 94 100 81 94 75 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 March 2020 50 Day Low $ 196.74 64 78 100 82 90 75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 January 2020 50 Day Low $ 214.43 68 88 100 82 88 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
18 April 2019 50 Day Low $ 173.95 42 73 100 92 86 59 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 December 2018 50 Day Low $ 174.21 94 93 100 86 89 98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 October 2018 50 Day Low $ 182.89 71 88 100 98 99 84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
04 May 2018 50 Day Low $ 156.46 37 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 March 2018 50 Day Low $ 160.15 48 82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 November 2017 50 Day Low $ 158.50 59 85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
22 May 2017 50 Day Low $ 140.70 63 74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 April 2017 50 Day Low $ 147.25 62 78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2016 50 Day Low $ 149.28 52 88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
24 June 2016 50 Day Low $ 131.23 74 87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for AMGEN Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: AMGN) was last updated 06 Aug 2026 07:13. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 05 Aug 2026.