Applied Materials Inc (AMAT) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to AMAT's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.67%.   Win rate: 80.0%.   Sharpe Ratio: 1.528.   Maximum drawdown: -38.78% on 04 April 2025.
Mean CAGR: 233.55%. Time in market: 505 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1510.65 on 01 October 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Applied Materials

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 5 signal(s) occurring before 04 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (80.0% * 10.59%) + (20.0% * 1.00%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.67%.
Wins: 4 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Applied Materials Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
11 August 2026 Mega Dump 94 78 97 97 68 95 schedule schedule schedule
10 August 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 67 79 97 97 68 80 schedule schedule schedule
05 August 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 82 79 97 97 68 88 schedule schedule schedule
03 August 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 80 83 97 97 68 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
31 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 87 81 97 97 68 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
24 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 53 94 97 97 68 74 schedule schedule schedule
22 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 73 83 97 97 70 85 schedule schedule schedule
17 July 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (MD) 76 86 97 97 71 87 schedule schedule schedule
15 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 82 82 97 97 72 89 schedule schedule schedule
10 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump 96 88 97 97 72 99 schedule schedule schedule

Mega Dump Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Mega Dump entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
11 August 2026 Mega Dump $ 532.80 94 78 97 97 68 95 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 590.37 96 88 97 97 72 99 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 September 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 181.18 74 81 98 68 73 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
31 July 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 209.15 62 87 98 63 73 75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 June 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 93.52 84 95 100 75 68 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 April 2020 Mega Dump $ 51.24 60 92 100 91 82 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 March 2020 Mega Dump $ 44.52 94 97 100 91 92 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 December 2018  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 30.11 98 97 100 94 96 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Applied Materials Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: AMAT) was last updated 12 Aug 2026 03:32. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 11 Aug 2026.