Applied Materials Inc (AMAT) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to AMAT's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Threshold:           [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.93%.   Win rate: 86.67%.   Sharpe Ratio: -3.719.   Maximum drawdown: -49.65% on 13 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 152.78%. Time in market: 3392 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $5882.70 on 21 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Applied Materials

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 30 signal(s) occurring before 02 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (86.67% * 8.96%) + (13.33% * 1.22%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.93%.
Wins: 26 Breakevens: 4 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Applied Materials Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
05 June 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW    computerLOW   Gap Down $ 466.36 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 March 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW    computerLOW   Gap Down $ 351.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 January 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW    computerLOW   Gap Down $ 327.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 December 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 253.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 October 2025   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 217.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 July 2025   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 178.97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 May 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 167.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 April 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 138.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 February 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 172.02 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 December 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 174.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 October 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 202.35 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 September 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 188.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
24 July 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 211.95 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 April 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 202.99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 October 2023   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 138.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 July 2023   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 135.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 December 2022   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 106.16 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 September 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 91.41 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 August 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Gap Down $ 101.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 June 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 103.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 May 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     sirenFIRE SALE Gap Down $ 106.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
05 April 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 125.24 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 January 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 148.75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 December 2021  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 150.55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 August 2021  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 130.61 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 June 2021  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 133.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 March 2021  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 119.67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 January 2021  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 100.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 September 2020   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 62.64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 July 2020   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 60.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 November 2019   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 56.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
27 September 2019   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 49.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 August 2019   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 45.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 May 2019   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 38.39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 February 2019  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 38.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 January 2019  bubble_chart   cards_starHIGH     Gap Down $ 32.97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 December 2018  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Gap Down $ 35.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 August 2018  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 42.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 May 2018  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 47.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 November 2017  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 52.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
17 May 2017  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 41.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 June 2016   LOW     Gap Down $ 22.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 January 2016   LOW     Gap Down $ 16.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Applied Materials Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: AMAT) was last updated 14 Jun 2026 16:17. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 09 Jun 2026.