Applied Materials Inc (AMAT) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to AMAT's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.60%.   Win rate: 84.21%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.447.   Maximum drawdown: -46.78% on 13 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 154.07%. Time in market: 2244 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2339.78 on 10 November 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Applied Materials

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 19 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (84.21% * 8.92%) + (15.79% * 0.52%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.60%.
Wins: 16 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Applied Materials Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
20 August 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.763  factory0.433   50 Day Low $ 161.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 April 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.95  factory0.625   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 138.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 February 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.767  factory0.726   50 Day Low $ 157.68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 December 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.878  factory0.793   50 Day Low $ 168.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 November 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.903  factory0.718   50 Day Low $ 168.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 September 2024  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.721  factory0.736   50 Day Low $ 177.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
25 July 2024  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.675  factory0.746   50 Day Low $ 204.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.956  factory0.797   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 131.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.656  factory0.728   50 Day Low $ 134.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 April 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.722  factory0.502   50 Day Low $ 110.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 September 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.918  factory0.798   50 Day Low $ 87.73 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 June 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.972  factory0.853   50 Day Low $ 97.01 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 May 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.976  factory0.788   50 Day Low $ 105.29 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
06 April 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.913  factory0.362   50 Day Low $ 119.17 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 February 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.744  factory0.553   50 Day Low $ 129.91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
20 January 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.892  factory0.423   50 Day Low $ 142.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 October 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.707  factory0.731   50 Day Low $ 126.43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 September 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.607  factory0.636   50 Day Low $ 56.19 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 February 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.739  factory0.736   50 Day Low $ 56.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 December 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.927  factory0.867   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 30.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 October 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.783  factory0.869   50 Day Low $ 30.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 September 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.797  factory0.822   50 Day Low $ 37.01 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
17 August 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.753  factory0.76   50 Day Low $ 42.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 June 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.849  factory0.75   50 Day Low $ 46.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 April 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.696  factory0.637   50 Day Low $ 47.05 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
05 February 2018  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.897  factory0.584   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 47.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Applied Materials Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: AMAT) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 29 May 2026.