AGNC Investment Corp (AGNC) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to AGNC's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -3.53%.   Win rate: 61.90%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.035.   Maximum drawdown: -55.88% on 26 October 2023.
Mean CAGR: 29.3%. Time in market: 6480 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1005.46 on 11 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for AGNC Investment Corp

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 21 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (61.90% * 8.33%) + (14.29% * 0.45%) - (23.81% * 36.75%) = -3.53%.
Wins: 13 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 5

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

AGNC Investment Corp Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
06 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.879  factory0.549   50 Day Low $ 10.72 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
31 March 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.941  factory0.788   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 9.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
19 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.661  factory0.708   50 Day Low $ 9.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 October 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.884  factory0.611   50 Day Low $ 9.96 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 April 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.716  factory0.465   50 Day Low $ 9.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
03 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.923  factory0.849   50 Day Low $ 8.70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 August 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.773  factory0.735   50 Day Low $ 8.93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
01 May 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.821  factory0.617   50 Day Low $ 8.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
10 March 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.532  factory0.69   50 Day Low $ 10.20 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.697  factory0.863   50 Day Low $ 11.18 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
14 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.95  factory0.948   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 10.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
07 April 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.967  factory0.528   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 12.56 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
24 January 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.794  factory0.586   50 Day Low $ 14.64 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
30 November 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.533  factory0.706   50 Day Low $ 15.52 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 August 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.639  factory0.543   50 Day Low $ 15.88 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 June 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.898  factory0.656   50 Day Low $ 16.79 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.99  factory0.895   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 15.17 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 August 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.802  factory0.864   50 Day Low $ 14.53 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 May 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.623  factory0.829   50 Day Low $ 15.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
15 November 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.854  factory0.882   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 14.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
04 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.657  factory0.651   50 Day Low $ 14.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 January 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.723  factory0.577   50 Day Low $ 14.45 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 October 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.837  factory0.555   50 Day Low $ 15.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 December 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.974  factory0.664   50 Day Low $ 12.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 October 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.712  factory0.757   50 Day Low $ 12.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for AGNC Investment Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: AGNC) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 29 May 2026.