Afya Ltd (AFYA) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to AFYA's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 0.51%.   Win rate: 80.95%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.833.   Maximum drawdown: -66.51% on 12 July 2022.
Mean CAGR: 159.4%. Time in market: 3265 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1179.02 on 14 May 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Afya Ltd

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 21 signal(s) occurring before 17 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (80.95% * 9.28%) + (4.76% * 4.16%) - (14.29% * 50.40%) = 0.51%.
Wins: 17 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Afya Ltd Analysis

Market sector: Healthcare.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Score Performance
5% 6% 7.5%
23 July 2026  bubble_chart 50 Day Low   smart_toyLOW (51)    stethoscopeLOW   schedule schedule schedule
12 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (49)    stethoscopeLOW   schedule schedule schedule
02 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (49)    stethoscopeHIGH   schedule schedule schedule
27 May 2026  bubble_chart 50 Day Low   smart_toyLOW (53)    stethoscopeLOW   schedule schedule schedule
01 May 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (49)    stethoscopeLOW   select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
24 April 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven   smart_toyLOW (45)    stethoscopeLOW   schedule schedule schedule
23 April 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (29)    stethoscopeLOW   schedule schedule schedule
30 March 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (53)    stethoscopeLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
03 March 2026  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly)   smart_toyLOW (38)    stethoscopeLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 February 2026  bubble_chart 52 Week Low   smart_toyLOW (50)    stethoscopeLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
09 September 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (72)    stethoscopeLOW   Gap Up $ 15.57 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 March 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (75)    stethoscopeLOW   Gap Up $ 17.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
16 August 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (69)    stethoscopeLOW   Gap Up $ 18.42 select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule schedule
13 May 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (47)    stethoscopeLOW   Gap Up $ 18.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 March 2023   smart_toyMEDIUM (86)    stethoscopeHIGH   Gap Up $ 10.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 August 2022   smart_toyHIGH (94)     Gap Up $ 12.93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 April 2022   smart_toyLOW (44)     Gap Up $ 14.52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 April 2022   smart_toyLOW (58)     Gap Up $ 14.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
08 March 2022   smart_toyLOW (69)     Gap Up $ 12.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 January 2022   smart_toyLOW (57)     Gap Up $ 13.98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
23 August 2021   smart_toyLOW (72)     Gap Up $ 20.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
16 April 2021   smart_toyLOW (41)     Gap Up $ 23.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
05 February 2021   smart_toyLOW (71)     Gap Up $ 24.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
29 September 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)     Gap Up $ 26.87 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
31 August 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)     Gap Up $ 25.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
04 June 2020   smart_toyLOW (74)     Gap Up $ 21.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 June 2020   smart_toyLOW (75)     Gap Up $ 19.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 April 2020   smart_toyHIGH (94)     Gap Up $ 21.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 March 2020   smart_toyHIGH (96)     Gap Up $ 17.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 March 2020   smart_toyHIGH (97)     Gap Up $ 14.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020   smart_toyHIGH (96)     Gap Up $ 17.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 January 2020   smart_toyLOW (57)     Gap Up $ 28.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 December 2019   smart_toyLOW (62)     Gap Up $ 29.06 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 September 2019   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)     Gap Up $ 24.52 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Afya Ltd (exchange: XNAS symbol: AFYA) was last updated 27 Jul 2026 04:58. Data for this stock is available from 19 Jul 2019 - 24 Jul 2026.