Afya Ltd (AFYA) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Double Seven Rate of Change Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite
Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to AFYA's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: Off Classic Original AI Model ML4 AI Model Threshold: All Low High Very High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 2.39%. Win rate: 64.29%. Sharpe Ratio: -1.38. Maximum drawdown: -60.32% on 12 July 2022.
Mean CAGR: 117.88%. Time in market: 3460 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1043.83 on 01 May 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Afya Ltd

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 14 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (64.29% * 8.90%) + (21.43% * 1.02%) - (14.29% * 24.90%) = 2.39%.
Wins: 9 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Afya Ltd Analysis

Market sector: Healthcare.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
27 May 2026 bubble_chart LOW smart_toy0.732 factory0.671	50 Day Low	$ 13.90	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
26 February 2026 bubble_chart MEDIUM smart_toy0.739 factory0.54	50 Day Low	$ 13.60	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
16 January 2026 bubble_chart MEDIUM smart_toy0.906 factory0.586	50 Day Low	$ 13.87	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
29 October 2025 bubble_chart MEDIUM smart_toy0.707 factory0.733	50 Day Low	$ 14.41	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	schedule
07 July 2025 bubble_chart MEDIUM smart_toy0.694 factory0.436	50 Day Low	$ 17.20	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
03 December 2024 bubble_chart MEDIUM smart_toy0.629 factory0.616	50 Day Low	$ 15.73	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
03 September 2024 bubble_chart MEDIUM smart_toy0.77 factory0.608	50 Day Low	$ 16.45	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule
05 June 2024 bubble_chart MEDIUM smart_toy0.704 factory0.685	50 Day Low	$ 15.80	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
26 March 2024 bubble_chart MEDIUM smart_toy0.594 factory0.626	50 Day Low	$ 19.02	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
13 March 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.863 factory0.86	50 Day Low	$ 11.40	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 February 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.888 factory0.77	50 Day Low	$ 14.16	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
14 June 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.969 factory0.818 FIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 10.56	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 May 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.972 factory0.867 FIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 11.86	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
04 March 2022 HIGH smart_toy0.922 factory0.851 FIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 12.14	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 January 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.97 factory0.916	50 Day Low	$ 12.74	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 November 2021 MEDIUM smart_toy0.82 factory0.763	50 Day Low	$ 16.82	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
28 September 2021 MEDIUM smart_toy0.697 factory0.703	50 Day Low	$ 19.20	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
13 August 2021 MEDIUM smart_toy0.811 factory0.401	50 Day Low	$ 22.68	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
03 March 2021 MEDIUM smart_toy0.667 factory0.555	50 Day Low	$ 22.32	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
27 January 2021 MEDIUM smart_toy0.671 factory0.469	50 Day Low	$ 22.99	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default
14 December 2020 MEDIUM smart_toy0.729 factory0.662	50 Day Low	$ 23.48	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	disabled_by_default
20 February 2020 LOW smart_toy0.925 factory0.712	50 Day Low	$ 26.35	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box

The data for Afya Ltd (exchange: XNAS symbol: AFYA) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 19 Jul 2019 - 29 May 2026.