Autodesk Inc (ADSK) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to ADSK's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.11%.   Win rate: 94.64%.   Sharpe Ratio: -4.125.   Maximum drawdown: -40.83% on 17 June 2022.
Mean CAGR: 160.67%. Time in market: 4861 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $9469.12 on 26 September 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Autodesk

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 56 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (94.64% * 8.87%) + (3.57% * 1.06%) - (1.79% * 18.36%) = 8.11%.
Wins: 53 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Autodesk Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
01 May 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.596   Mega Dump Lite $ 243.12 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.519   Mega Dump Lite $ 233.97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
24 February 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.638   Mega Dump Lite $ 219.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
22 January 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.623   Mega Dump Lite $ 269.24 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 August 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.905   Mega Dump Lite $ 289.81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
16 July 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.734   Mega Dump Lite $ 289.63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
15 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.861   Mega Dump Lite $ 263.87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 March 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.776   Mega Dump Lite $ 251.71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 December 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.561   Mega Dump Lite $ 296.55 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 August 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.802   Mega Dump Lite $ 234.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 June 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.788   Mega Dump Lite $ 225.13 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 May 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.662   Mega Dump Lite $ 218.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 April 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.812   Mega Dump Lite $ 247.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
08 March 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.595   Mega Dump Lite $ 252.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
12 December 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.912   Mega Dump Lite $ 226.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 November 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.926   Mega Dump Lite $ 207.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 October 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.867   Mega Dump Lite $ 209.33 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 September 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.94   Mega Dump Lite $ 218.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 August 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.711   Mega Dump Lite $ 211.81 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 June 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.802   Mega Dump Lite $ 206.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 April 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.553   Mega Dump Lite $ 195.60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 March 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.557   Mega Dump Lite $ 195.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 February 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.622   Mega Dump Lite $ 220.75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 January 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.826   Mega Dump Lite $ 187.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 December 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.82   Mega Dump Lite $ 201.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
31 October 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.917   Mega Dump Lite $ 214.53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
27 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.969   Mega Dump Lite $ 187.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 August 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.856   Mega Dump Lite $ 227.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 July 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.881   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 182.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 June 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.944   Mega Dump Lite $ 166.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 May 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.967   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 193.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 April 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.698   Mega Dump Lite $ 199.77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
11 March 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.86   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 195.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
07 February 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.875   Mega Dump Lite $ 241.51 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 January 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.732   Mega Dump Lite $ 280.67 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 December 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.685   Mega Dump Lite $ 259.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
12 October 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.77   Mega Dump Lite $ 275.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 September 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.896   Mega Dump Lite $ 288.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
15 June 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.766   Mega Dump Lite $ 279.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 May 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.577   Mega Dump Lite $ 275.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 April 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.648   Mega Dump Lite $ 286.18 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
05 March 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.829   Mega Dump Lite $ 268.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 February 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.791   Mega Dump Lite $ 283.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
16 November 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.717   Mega Dump Lite $ 249.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 October 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.921   Mega Dump Lite $ 243.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 September 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.75   Mega Dump Lite $ 227.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 May 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.554   Mega Dump Lite $ 180.03 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 April 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.97   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 137.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 March 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.71   Mega Dump Lite $ 190.75 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 October 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.959   Mega Dump Lite $ 149.99 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 September 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.924   Mega Dump Lite $ 149.02 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 August 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.797   Mega Dump Lite $ 149.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 July 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.832   Mega Dump Lite $ 169.60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
30 May 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.856   Mega Dump Lite $ 162.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
12 March 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.714   Mega Dump Lite $ 154.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 January 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.549   Mega Dump Lite $ 138.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 December 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.889   Mega Dump Lite $ 123.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.827   Mega Dump Lite $ 129.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 October 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.738   Mega Dump Lite $ 139.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 June 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.689   Mega Dump Lite $ 130.81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 April 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.528   Mega Dump Lite $ 128.35 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 February 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.646   Mega Dump Lite $ 108.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 January 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.647   Mega Dump Lite $ 111.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 December 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.655   Mega Dump Lite $ 108.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 January 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.984   Mega Dump Lite $ 79.27 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 December 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.946   Mega Dump Lite $ 73.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 August 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.909   Mega Dump Lite $ 58.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 June 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.776   Mega Dump Lite $ 53.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Autodesk Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ADSK) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 15 May 2026.