Autodesk Inc (ADSK) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to ADSK's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.11%.   Win rate: 94.83%.   Sharpe Ratio: -4.243.   Maximum drawdown: -40.83% on 17 June 2022.
Mean CAGR: 162.79%. Time in market: 4900 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $9469.12 on 26 September 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Autodesk

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 58 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (94.83% * 8.85%) + (3.45% * 1.06%) - (1.72% * 18.36%) = 8.11%.
Wins: 55 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Autodesk Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
28 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite 41 88 94 89 71 62 schedule schedule schedule
21 July 2026 Collapsed Bubble 58 81 94 89 73 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 July 2026 Gap Down 40 87 94 89 74 61 schedule schedule schedule
08 July 2026 Gap Up 74 88 94 89 74 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 July 2026 Collapsed Bubble 74 90 94 89 74 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite 84 85 94 89 74 91 schedule schedule schedule
25 June 2026 Mega Dump 81 85 94 89 74 89 schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026 Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) 64 86 94 89 74 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 June 2026 Super Oversold (52) 63 71 94 89 74 74 schedule schedule schedule
18 June 2026 Rate of Change 64 83 94 89 74 78 schedule schedule schedule

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
28 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 234.45 41 88 94 89 71 62 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
25 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 189.40 84 85 94 89 74 91 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
01 May 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 243.12 39 93 94 88 75 61 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 March 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 233.97 65 92 94 88 77 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
24 February 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 219.22 57 83 94 89 80 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
22 January 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 269.24 73 75 94 89 83 81 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 August 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 289.81 61 78 94 83 78 74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
16 July 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 289.63 56 76 95 83 79 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
15 April 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 263.87 89 91 95 80 80 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 March 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 251.71 61 94 95 80 81 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 December 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 296.55 53 85 95 84 83 70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 August 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 234.56 72 91 96 79 85 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 June 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 225.13 37 85 95 85 85 57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 May 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 218.22 52 70 95 81 86 65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 April 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 247.40 55 90 95 79 87 72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
08 March 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 252.82 46 83 95 91 87 65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
12 December 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 226.38 47 90 100 80 92 66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 November 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 207.92 64 94 100 79 93 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 October 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 209.33 56 93 100 82 93 73 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 September 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 218.78 36 95 100 84 94 58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 August 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 211.81 44 89 100 86 94 64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 June 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 206.22 54 89 100 84 94 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 April 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 195.60 66 91 100 89 94 81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 March 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 195.60 72 93 100 89 90 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 February 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 220.75 67 87 100 86 81 80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 January 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 187.92 87 90 100 86 81 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 December 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 201.00 69 94 100 86 82 84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
31 October 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 214.53 73 79 100 86 81 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
27 September 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 187.16 81 93 100 84 80 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 August 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 227.44 70 89 100 84 80 83 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 July 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 182.80 85 89 100 84 81 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 June 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 166.08 75 95 100 84 80 87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 May 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 193.52 80 89 100 91 87 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 April 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 199.77 48 93 100 91 86 69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
11 March 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 195.28 57 92 100 86 86 74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
07 February 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 241.51 56 89 100 86 86 73 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 January 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 280.67 50 90 100 81 86 68 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 December 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 259.32 50 97 100 85 86 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
12 October 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 275.60 53 93 100 87 87 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 September 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 288.74 36 79 100 89 88 55 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
15 June 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 279.01 31 76 100 96 94 51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 May 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 275.08 35 81 100 92 93 55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 April 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 286.18 52 82 100 94 94 69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
05 March 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 268.86 49 74 100 89 93 64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 February 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 283.36 44 74 100 88 94 60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
16 November 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 249.08 64 92 100 87 94 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 October 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 243.42 58 94 100 89 96 75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 September 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 227.83 61 95 100 91 95 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 May 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 180.03 60 91 100 92 96 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 April 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 137.01 94 95 100 93 97 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 March 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 190.75 58 95 100 94 94 77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 October 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 149.99 67 93 100 97 98 83 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 September 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 149.02 68 88 100 97 97 82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 August 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 149.28 72 94 100 97 97 86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 July 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 169.60 58 68 100 98 97 69 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
30 May 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 162.24 79 94 100 98 97 90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
12 March 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 154.58 57 84 100 97 98 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 January 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 138.48 76 84 100 98 98 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 December 2018  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 123.07 92 97 100 97 97 99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2018  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 129.98 73 88 100 98 96 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 October 2018  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 139.36 56 83 100 97 96 72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 June 2018  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 130.81 42 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 April 2018  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 128.35 58 92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 February 2018  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 108.14 55 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 January 2018  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 111.84 69 60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 December 2017  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 108.38 71 89 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 January 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 79.27 67 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 December 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 73.80 85 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 August 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 58.70 77 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 June 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 53.72 76 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Autodesk Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ADSK) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 12 Aug 2026.