Autodesk Inc (ADSK) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
          [ What are these? | Switch to ADSK's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.45%.   Win rate: 94.12%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.184.   Maximum drawdown: -24.19% on 24 December 2018.
Mean CAGR: 143.43%. Time in market: 1626 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2500.93 on 30 August 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Autodesk

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 17 signal(s) occurring before 01 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (94.12% * 8.96%) + (5.88% * 0.33%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.45%.
Wins: 16 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Autodesk Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
08 July 2026   smart_toyLOW (74)    computerLOW   Gap Up $ 208.57 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 January 2026   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)     Gap Up $ 269.70 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
28 November 2025   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)     Gap Up $ 301.82 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
02 September 2025   smart_toyLOW (50)     Gap Up $ 316.09 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 July 2025   smart_toyLOW (49)     Gap Up $ 291.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
03 September 2024   smart_toyLOW (47)     Gap Up $ 259.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 June 2024   smart_toyLOW (42)     Gap Up $ 242.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 June 2024   smart_toyLOW (63)     Gap Up $ 211.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2024   smart_toyLOW (30)     Gap Up $ 261.86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
25 August 2023   smart_toyLOW (56)     Gap Up $ 212.88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 December 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)     Gap Up $ 201.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
11 November 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)     Gap Up $ 225.65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 August 2022   smart_toyLOW (78)     Gap Up $ 213.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
31 May 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (45)     Gap Up $ 208.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
10 November 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (73)     Gap Up $ 253.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 June 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (79)     Gap Up $ 223.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 April 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (95)     Gap Up $ 153.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 March 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (96)     Gap Up $ 149.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (95)     Gap Up $ 144.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 November 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (73)     Gap Up $ 132.79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 August 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (53)     Gap Up $ 156.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 March 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (54)     Gap Up $ 137.15 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
22 May 2017   smart_toyHIGH (90)     Gap Up $ 111.58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Autodesk Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ADSK) was last updated 09 Jul 2026 08:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 08 Jul 2026.