Autodesk Inc (ADSK) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to ADSK's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.10%.   Win rate: 94.59%.   Sharpe Ratio: -5.9.   Maximum drawdown: -23.23% on 17 June 2022.
Mean CAGR: 121.21%. Time in market: 3664 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1663.37 on 07 February 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Autodesk

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 37 signal(s) occurring before 06 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (94.59% * 8.54%) + (5.41% * 0.50%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.10%.
Wins: 35 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Autodesk Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Collapsed Bubble Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Collapsed Bubble entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
07 July 2026   smart_toyLOW (74)    computerLOW   Collapsed Bubble $ 214.18 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 December 2023   smart_toyLOW (50)     Collapsed Bubble $ 238.90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 December 2023   smart_toyLOW (43)     Collapsed Bubble $ 220.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 November 2023   smart_toyLOW (36)     Collapsed Bubble $ 218.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 November 2023   smart_toyLOW (48)     Collapsed Bubble $ 206.35 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 September 2023   smart_toyLOW (64)     Collapsed Bubble $ 212.10 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 September 2023   smart_toyLOW (49)     Collapsed Bubble $ 220.64 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 August 2023   smart_toyLOW (67)     Collapsed Bubble $ 212.88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 August 2023   smart_toyLOW (60)     Collapsed Bubble $ 202.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 July 2023   smart_toyLOW (60)     Collapsed Bubble $ 210.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 July 2023   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)     Collapsed Bubble $ 216.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 June 2023   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)     Collapsed Bubble $ 208.99 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
06 June 2023   smart_toyLOW (71)     Collapsed Bubble $ 208.62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
23 May 2023   smart_toyLOW (70)     Collapsed Bubble $ 197.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 May 2023   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)     Collapsed Bubble $ 194.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 April 2023   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)     Collapsed Bubble $ 198.62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 April 2023   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)     Collapsed Bubble $ 206.16 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
22 March 2023   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)     Collapsed Bubble $ 202.41 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
22 February 2023   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)     Collapsed Bubble $ 216.20 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 February 2023   smart_toyLOW (73)     Collapsed Bubble $ 220.75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 January 2023   smart_toyLOW (68)     Collapsed Bubble $ 207.87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
10 January 2023   smart_toyLOW (75)     Collapsed Bubble $ 191.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 December 2022   smart_toyLOW (69)     Collapsed Bubble $ 201.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
15 November 2022   smart_toyLOW (30)     Collapsed Bubble $ 231.75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 November 2022   smart_toyLOW (71)     Collapsed Bubble $ 215.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
18 October 2022   smart_toyHIGH (95)     Collapsed Bubble $ 202.69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
05 October 2022   smart_toyHIGH (91)     Collapsed Bubble $ 200.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
23 August 2022   smart_toyLOW (69)     Collapsed Bubble $ 214.67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
09 August 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (71)     Collapsed Bubble $ 218.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 July 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)     Collapsed Bubble $ 194.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
11 July 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (77)     Collapsed Bubble $ 177.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 June 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (60)     Collapsed Bubble $ 173.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 June 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (60)     Collapsed Bubble $ 208.69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
17 May 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (63)     Collapsed Bubble $ 196.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
05 May 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (59)     Collapsed Bubble $ 201.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
19 April 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (64)     Collapsed Bubble $ 199.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
04 April 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (47)     Collapsed Bubble $ 216.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 March 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (53)     Collapsed Bubble $ 212.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Autodesk Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ADSK) was last updated 14 Jul 2026 04:31. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 13 Jul 2026.