Autodesk Inc (ADSK) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to ADSK's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.45%.   Win rate: 95.00%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.242.   Maximum drawdown: -34.35% on 17 June 2022.
Mean CAGR: 150.92%. Time in market: 1706 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $4220.91 on 16 September 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Autodesk

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 20 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (95.00% * 9.05%) + (0% * 0%) - (5.00% * 2.95%) = 8.45%.
Wins: 19 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Autodesk Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
06 February 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.821  factory0.48   50 Day Low $ 240.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
05 January 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.654  factory0.522   50 Day Low $ 288.35 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 November 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.841  factory0.66   50 Day Low $ 295.74 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 April 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.882  factory0.803   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 247.81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 February 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.712  factory0.68   50 Day Low $ 276.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
13 January 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.984  factory0.763   50 Day Low $ 283.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
29 May 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.727  factory0.318   50 Day Low $ 208.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 April 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.808  factory0.363   50 Day Low $ 246.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
27 October 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.851  factory0.786   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 195.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 August 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.762  factory0.683   50 Day Low $ 198.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 April 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.553  factory0.407   50 Day Low $ 195.60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 December 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.775  factory0.64   50 Day Low $ 187.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 June 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.852  factory0.786   50 Day Low $ 176.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 April 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.702  factory0.588   50 Day Low $ 188.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 February 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.602  factory0.599   50 Day Low $ 216.08 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 January 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.941  factory0.346   50 Day Low $ 252.96 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
24 November 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.73  factory0.71   50 Day Low $ 259.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
10 September 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.762  factory0.474   50 Day Low $ 286.54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
03 March 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.836  factory0.58   50 Day Low $ 272.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 September 2020  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.912  factory0.639   50 Day Low $ 224.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 March 2020  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.76  factory0.695   50 Day Low $ 175.62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 August 2019  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.764  factory0.698   50 Day Low $ 154.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 June 2019  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.929  factory0.808   50 Day Low $ 157.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 December 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.889  factory0.868   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 123.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 October 2018  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.904  factory0.825   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 129.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 July 2018  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.778  factory0.807   50 Day Low $ 129.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 November 2017  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.81  factory0.622   50 Day Low $ 109.67 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Autodesk Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ADSK) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 29 May 2026.