Autodesk Inc (ADSK) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to ADSK's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.44%.   Win rate: 95.24%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.275.   Maximum drawdown: -34.35% on 17 June 2022.
Mean CAGR: 158.02%. Time in market: 1722 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $4220.91 on 16 September 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Autodesk

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 21 signal(s) occurring before 29 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (95.24% * 9.01%) + (0% * 0%) - (4.76% * 2.95%) = 8.44%.
Wins: 20 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Autodesk Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
28 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite 41 88 94 89 71 62 schedule schedule schedule
21 July 2026 Collapsed Bubble 58 81 94 89 73 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 July 2026 Gap Down 40 87 94 89 74 61 schedule schedule schedule
08 July 2026 Gap Up 74 88 94 89 74 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 July 2026 Collapsed Bubble 74 90 94 89 74 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 June 2026 Mega Dump 81 85 94 89 74 89 schedule schedule schedule
25 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite 84 85 94 89 74 91 schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026 Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) 64 86 94 89 74 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 June 2026 Super Oversold (52) 63 71 94 89 74 74 schedule schedule schedule
18 June 2026 Rate of Change 64 83 94 89 74 78 schedule schedule schedule

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
10 June 2026 50 Day Low $ 219.25 45 68 94 89 74 61 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
06 February 2026 50 Day Low $ 240.02 59 83 94 89 83 74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
05 January 2026 50 Day Low $ 288.35 61 53 95 89 84 66 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 November 2025 50 Day Low $ 295.74 73 92 95 91 85 86 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 April 2025 50 Day Low $ 247.81 79 90 95 80 80 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 February 2025 50 Day Low $ 276.82 53 76 95 83 82 68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
13 January 2025 50 Day Low $ 283.12 54 89 95 84 82 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
29 May 2024 50 Day Low $ 208.08 40 77 95 89 88 58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 April 2024 50 Day Low $ 246.98 48 90 95 90 86 68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
27 October 2023 50 Day Low $ 195.70 73 92 100 82 93 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 August 2023 50 Day Low $ 198.09 64 89 100 86 94 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 April 2023 50 Day Low $ 195.60 65 91 100 89 94 80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 December 2022 50 Day Low $ 187.10 89 96 100 86 81 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 June 2022  bubble_chart 50 Day Low $ 176.36 87 95 100 84 81 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 April 2022  bubble_chart 50 Day Low $ 188.90 90 94 100 91 86 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 February 2022  bubble_chart 50 Day Low $ 216.08 58 89 100 86 86 74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 January 2022  bubble_chart 50 Day Low $ 252.96 47 92 100 86 86 67 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
24 November 2021  bubble_chart 50 Day Low $ 259.89 44 87 100 85 86 63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
10 September 2021  bubble_chart 50 Day Low $ 286.54 39 87 100 89 88 60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
03 March 2021  bubble_chart 50 Day Low $ 272.50 43 73 100 89 93 59 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 September 2020  bubble_chart 50 Day Low $ 224.26 57 94 100 91 95 75 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 March 2020  bubble_chart 50 Day Low $ 175.62 59 89 100 94 94 76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 August 2019  bubble_chart 50 Day Low $ 154.80 56 73 100 97 97 70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 June 2019  bubble_chart 50 Day Low $ 157.88 73 84 100 98 97 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 December 2018  bubble_chart 50 Day Low $ 123.07 94 97 100 97 97 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 October 2018  bubble_chart 50 Day Low $ 129.12 52 88 100 97 96 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 July 2018  bubble_chart 50 Day Low $ 129.08 46 91 100 98 95 66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 November 2017  bubble_chart 50 Day Low $ 109.67 68 88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Autodesk Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ADSK) was last updated 06 Aug 2026 07:13. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 05 Aug 2026.