Automatic Data Processing Inc (ADP) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to ADP's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.13%.   Win rate: 97.06%.   Sharpe Ratio: -4.21.   Maximum drawdown: -32.12% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 111.64%. Time in market: 2576 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3879.52 on 12 December 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for ADP

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 34 signal(s) occurring before 17 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (97.06% * 8.31%) + (2.94% * 2.18%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.13%.
Wins: 33 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

ADP Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
23 June 2026   smart_toyLOW (64)    account_balanceLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 220.64 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 April 2026   smart_toyLOW (68)    account_balanceLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 196.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
24 March 2026   smart_toyLOW (79)    account_balanceLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 207.11 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
18 February 2026   smart_toyLOW (79)    account_balanceLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 215.02 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
16 December 2025   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)    account_balanceLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 261.98 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 November 2025   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)    account_balanceLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 254.88 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2025   smart_toyLOW (62)    account_balanceLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 305.88 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 April 2025   smart_toyHIGH (95)    account_balanceHIGH   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 294.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
17 March 2025   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)    account_balanceLOW   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 294.33 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
05 December 2023   smart_toyLOW (63)     Mega Dump Lite $ 229.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 November 2023   smart_toyLOW (67)     Mega Dump Lite $ 217.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 February 2023   smart_toyLOW (66)     Mega Dump Lite $ 224.91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 January 2023   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)     Mega Dump Lite $ 239.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 October 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 227.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
09 September 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)     Mega Dump Lite $ 243.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
21 June 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 205.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 May 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)     Mega Dump Lite $ 213.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2022   smart_toyLOW (74)     Mega Dump Lite $ 206.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 January 2022   smart_toyLOW (77)     Mega Dump Lite $ 202.76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 February 2021   smart_toyLOW (56)     Mega Dump Lite $ 171.45 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 January 2021   smart_toyLOW (59)     Mega Dump Lite $ 161.62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 September 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (85)     Mega Dump Lite $ 137.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 August 2020   smart_toyLOW (77)     Mega Dump Lite $ 140.10 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 July 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)     Mega Dump Lite $ 145.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 June 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (85)     Mega Dump Lite $ 148.47 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 May 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (86)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 132.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 April 2020   smart_toyHIGH (94)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 135.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 March 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)     Mega Dump Lite $ 160.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 October 2019   smart_toyLOW (64)     Mega Dump Lite $ 158.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
19 September 2019   smart_toyLOW (56)     Mega Dump Lite $ 157.35 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
29 January 2019   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)     Mega Dump Lite $ 131.05 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 December 2018   smart_toyHIGH (94)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 124.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2018   smart_toyLOW (79)     Mega Dump Lite $ 140.22 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 October 2018   smart_toyLOW (68)     Mega Dump Lite $ 137.33 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 March 2018   smart_toyLOW (57)     Mega Dump Lite $ 110.46 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 February 2018   smart_toyLOW (62)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 106.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 September 2017   smart_toyLOW (68)     Mega Dump Lite $ 101.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 August 2017   smart_toyLOW (73)     Mega Dump Lite $ 103.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 May 2017   smart_toyLOW (60)     Mega Dump Lite $ 90.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 February 2017   smart_toyLOW (60)     Mega Dump Lite $ 90.05 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 August 2016   smart_toyLOW (68)     Mega Dump Lite $ 82.33 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 February 2016   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)     Mega Dump Lite $ 78.47 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 January 2016   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)     Mega Dump Lite $ 71.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Automatic Data Processing Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ADP) was last updated 25 Jun 2026 08:31. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 24 Jun 2026.