Automatic Data Processing Inc (ADP) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to ADP's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.56%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: .   Maximum drawdown: -26.39% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 13.55%. Time in market: 236 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1085.60 on 02 November 2020.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for ADP

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 1 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.56%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.56%.
Wins: 1 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

ADP Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
21 July 2026 Gap Down 58 56 100 84 82 65 schedule schedule schedule
23 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite 64 52 100 84 82 67 schedule schedule schedule
02 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble 43 81 100 85 82 62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 May 2026 Gap Down 43 79 100 85 82 61 schedule schedule schedule
19 May 2026 Collapsed Bubble 51 87 100 82 82 68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 May 2026 Collapsed Bubble 68 78 100 83 82 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 April 2026 Gap Up 36 87 100 83 82 57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 April 2026 Mega Dump Lite 68 83 100 82 82 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 April 2026 Collapsed Bubble 54 75 100 82 82 68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 April 2026 Gap Down 68 71 100 82 82 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
25 March 2026 52 Week Low $ 204.18 86 80 100 82 82 89 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 January 2026 52 Week Low $ 250.17 83 54 100 83 87 78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule
29 October 2025 52 Week Low $ 266.19 82 59 100 83 87 79 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
11 March 2020 52 Week Low $ 147.80 98 93 100 82 95 100 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Automatic Data Processing Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ADP) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.