Adobe Inc (ADBE) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Rate of Change Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite
Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD Best Buy Signals [ What are these indicators? | Switch to ADBE's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores help.
Expectancy: 6.40%. Win rate: 69.23%. Sharpe Ratio: -1.938. Maximum drawdown: -45.82% on 30 September 2022.
Mean CAGR: 91.48%. Time in market: 2426 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1289.63 on 15 November 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Adobe

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 13 signal(s) occurring before 19 March 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (69.23% * 8.62%) + (30.77% * 1.40%) - (0% * 0%) = 6.40%.
Wins: 9 Breakevens: 4 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Adobe Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
24 March 2026 45	Super Oversold	$ 242.39	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
20 February 2026 40	Super Oversold	$ 256.80	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule	schedule
10 February 2026 40	Super Oversold	$ 265.68	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule	schedule	schedule
09 February 2026 40	Super Oversold	$ 266.98	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
04 February 2026 35 smart_toy0.955 mode_heat	Super Oversold	$ 273.47	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
03 February 2026 5 smart_toy0.954 mode_heat	Super Oversold	$ 277.34	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
20 January 2026 0	Super Oversold	$ 292.34	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
14 January 2026 30	Super Oversold	$ 306.50	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
14 January 2026 0	Super Oversold	$ 306.50	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
07 April 2025 bubble_chart 35	Super Oversold	$ 338.12	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 April 2025 bubble_chart 5 smart_toy0.992 mode_heat	Super Oversold	$ 354.04	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
10 January 2025 bubble_chart 60	Super Oversold	$ 407.96	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
10 January 2025 bubble_chart 60 smart_toy0.977 mode_heat	Super Oversold	$ 407.96	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
03 January 2025 bubble_chart 10 smart_toy0.964 mode_heat	Super Oversold	$ 430.01	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule	schedule
30 May 2024 bubble_chart 20	Super Oversold	$ 455.38	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 September 2022 bubble_chart 30	Super Oversold	$ 291.94	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
19 September 2022 bubble_chart 60	Super Oversold	$ 295.47	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
16 September 2022 bubble_chart 60	Super Oversold	$ 298.91	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
16 September 2022 bubble_chart 60	Super Oversold	$ 298.91	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
15 September 2022 bubble_chart 60	Super Oversold	$ 316.14	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
15 September 2022 bubble_chart 30	Super Oversold	$ 316.14	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
13 June 2022 bubble_chart 30 smart_toy0.955 mode_heat	Super Oversold	$ 374.50	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
27 April 2022 bubble_chart 30	Super Oversold	$ 399.67	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
17 February 2022 bubble_chart 15	Super Oversold	$ 465.42	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
11 February 2022 bubble_chart 45	Super Oversold	$ 485.94	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
06 January 2022 bubble_chart 30 smart_toy0.962 mode_heat	Super Oversold	$ 512.06	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
06 January 2022 bubble_chart 0 smart_toy0.962 mode_heat	Super Oversold	$ 512.06	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
20 November 2018 bubble_chart 20	Super Oversold	$ 214.57	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

The data for Adobe Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ADBE) was last updated 27 Mar 2026 10:47. Data for this stock is available from 01 Feb 2016 - 26 Mar 2026.