Adobe Inc (ADBE) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to ADBE's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.28%.   Win rate: 75.00%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.663.   Maximum drawdown: -45.82% on 30 September 2022.
Mean CAGR: 103.87%. Time in market: 2541 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1494.68 on 14 June 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Adobe

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 16 signal(s) occurring before 18 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (75.00% * 9.24%) + (25.00% * 1.40%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.28%.
Wins: 12 Breakevens: 4 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Adobe Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
25 June 2026   smart_toyLOW (76)    computerLOW   Super Oversold (GD) $ 193.20 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
25 June 2026   smart_toyLOW (71)     Super Oversold (52) $ 193.20 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 June 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (68)    computerLOW   Super Oversold () $ 194.38 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 June 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (70)    computerLOW   Super Oversold (26) $ 206.30 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 June 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (73)    computerLOW   Super Oversold (52) $ 203.21 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 June 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (73)    computerLOW   Super Oversold (26) $ 203.21 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
27 March 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)    computerLOW   sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 237.31 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
24 March 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)    computerLOW   sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 242.39 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
20 February 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (61)    computerLOW   Super Oversold (52) $ 256.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
10 February 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (74)    computerLOW   Super Oversold (52) $ 265.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
09 February 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (75)    computerLOW   Super Oversold (52) $ 266.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 February 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (77)    computerLOW   Super Oversold (GD) $ 273.47 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 February 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (77)    computerLOW   Super Oversold (26) $ 277.34 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
20 January 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (85)    computerLOW   Super Oversold (26) $ 292.34 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
14 January 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (67)    computerLOW   Super Oversold (26) $ 306.50 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
14 January 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (67)    computerLOW   Super Oversold (52) $ 306.50 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
07 April 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (98)     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 338.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 April 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (79)     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 354.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
10 January 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (69)     Super Oversold (GD) $ 407.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
10 January 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (69)     Super Oversold (MD) $ 407.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
03 January 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (78)     Super Oversold (26) $ 430.01 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
30 May 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (49)     Super Oversold (26) $ 455.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 September 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (70)     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 291.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 September 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (70)     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 295.47 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 September 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (65)     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 298.91 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 September 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (65)     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 298.91 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 September 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (64)     Super Oversold () $ 298.91 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 September 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (66)     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 316.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 September 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (66)     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 316.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 September 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (66)     Super Oversold (CB) $ 316.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 June 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 374.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
27 April 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 399.67 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
17 February 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (68)     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 465.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 February 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (59)     Super Oversold (GD) $ 485.94 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 January 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (74)     Super Oversold (26) $ 512.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 January 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (74)     Super Oversold (RoC) $ 512.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 November 2018   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 214.57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Adobe Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ADBE) was last updated 26 Jun 2026 05:21. Data for this stock is available from 01 Feb 2016 - 25 Jun 2026.