Adobe Inc (ADBE) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to ADBE's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 5.56%.   Win rate: 84.09%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.766.   Maximum drawdown: -58.45% on 30 September 2022.
Mean CAGR: 145.27%. Time in market: 6158 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2373.71 on 23 February 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Adobe

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 44 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (84.09% * 8.54%) + (9.09% * 1.28%) - (6.82% * 25.45%) = 5.56%.
Wins: 37 Breakevens: 4 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Adobe Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
01 May 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.493   Mega Dump Lite $ 251.36 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.835   Mega Dump Lite $ 238.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
24 February 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.977   Mega Dump Lite $ 250.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
23 January 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.681   Mega Dump Lite $ 301.26 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
21 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.78   Mega Dump Lite $ 318.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
20 October 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.71   Mega Dump Lite $ 339.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
29 August 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.685   Mega Dump Lite $ 355.35 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
28 July 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.509   Mega Dump Lite $ 370.25 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 June 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.642   Mega Dump Lite $ 383.65 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 May 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.899   Mega Dump Lite $ 408.40 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
21 April 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.964   Mega Dump Lite $ 343.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 March 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.914   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 393.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
27 January 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.869   Mega Dump Lite $ 434.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
24 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.522   Mega Dump Lite $ 447.22 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 October 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.782   Mega Dump Lite $ 494.77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
20 September 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.727   Mega Dump Lite $ 524.37 select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
08 August 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.699   Mega Dump Lite $ 525.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
05 June 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.671   Mega Dump Lite $ 452.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 April 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.616   Mega Dump Lite $ 474.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 March 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.802   Mega Dump Lite $ 507.83 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
23 February 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.768   Mega Dump Lite $ 548.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
08 January 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.769   Mega Dump Lite $ 574.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
03 November 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.902   Mega Dump Lite $ 561.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
02 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.831   Mega Dump Lite $ 514.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 June 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.711   Mega Dump Lite $ 469.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 May 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.73   Mega Dump Lite $ 342.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 April 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.659   Mega Dump Lite $ 383.70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 March 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.561   Mega Dump Lite $ 328.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 November 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.796   Mega Dump Lite $ 339.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.711   Mega Dump Lite $ 285.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.839   Mega Dump Lite $ 373.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
29 July 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.959   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 407.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
27 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.973   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 384.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
24 May 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.981   Mega Dump Lite $ 400.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
21 April 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.832   Mega Dump Lite $ 425.08 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 March 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.961   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 452.50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 February 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.895   Mega Dump Lite $ 481.02 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 January 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.879   Mega Dump Lite $ 517.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 December 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.687   Mega Dump Lite $ 655.54 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 November 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.746   Mega Dump Lite $ 667.80 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 October 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.428   Mega Dump Lite $ 578.71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
15 June 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.475   Mega Dump Lite $ 551.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 May 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.622   Mega Dump Lite $ 484.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 April 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.554   Mega Dump Lite $ 487.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 March 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.723   Mega Dump Lite $ 469.81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 January 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.713   Mega Dump Lite $ 471.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 November 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.69   Mega Dump Lite $ 479.24 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
26 October 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.731   Mega Dump Lite $ 478.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
22 September 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.739   Mega Dump Lite $ 483.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
21 August 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.738   Mega Dump Lite $ 475.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
20 July 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.512   Mega Dump Lite $ 444.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 April 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.984   Mega Dump Lite $ 300.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 March 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.766   Mega Dump Lite $ 355.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 September 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.781   Mega Dump Lite $ 276.86 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 August 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.778   Mega Dump Lite $ 295.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 January 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.876   Mega Dump Lite $ 245.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 December 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.934   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 214.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.917   Mega Dump Lite $ 228.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.864   Mega Dump Lite $ 256.58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
29 June 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.676   Mega Dump Lite $ 242.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
08 December 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.723   Mega Dump Lite $ 175.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 June 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.553   Mega Dump Lite $ 93.65 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Adobe Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ADBE) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Feb 2016 - 15 May 2026.