Adobe Inc (ADBE) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to ADBE's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 5.81%.   Win rate: 84.44%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.742.   Maximum drawdown: -58.45% on 30 September 2022.
Mean CAGR: 148.71%. Time in market: 6167 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2373.71 on 23 February 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Adobe

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 45 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (84.44% * 8.75%) + (8.89% * 1.28%) - (6.67% * 25.45%) = 5.81%.
Wins: 38 Breakevens: 4 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Adobe Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
10 August 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 42 79 94 96 69 61 schedule schedule schedule
28 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump 86 88 94 95 69 94 schedule schedule schedule
20 July 2026  bubble_chart Collapsed Bubble 48 84 94 95 71 67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 45 87 94 95 72 66 schedule schedule schedule
07 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 65 90 94 95 72 81 schedule schedule schedule
06 July 2026  bubble_chart Collapsed Bubble 68 90 94 95 72 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 June 2026  bubble_chart Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) 81 86 94 95 71 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 June 2026  bubble_chart Rate of Change 90 86 94 95 71 95 schedule schedule schedule
25 June 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (52) 71 85 94 95 71 84 schedule schedule schedule
25 June 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (GD) 76 74 94 95 71 83 schedule schedule schedule

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
10 August 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 268.01 42 79 94 96 69 61 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
07 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 221.35 65 90 94 95 72 81 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
02 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 265.04 34 86 94 95 71 56 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
01 May 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 251.36 37 93 94 93 70 60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
30 March 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 238.96 61 92 94 92 70 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
24 February 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 250.37 43 83 93 93 73 62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
23 January 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 301.26 60 73 93 93 77 72 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
21 November 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 318.88 74 93 94 95 79 87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
20 October 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 339.02 72 87 94 87 78 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
29 August 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 355.35 59 84 94 86 68 75 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
28 July 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 370.25 51 75 94 87 70 66 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 June 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 383.65 35 85 95 89 71 56 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 May 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 408.40 51 81 95 87 72 68 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
21 April 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 343.89 89 90 95 84 73 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 March 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 393.36 72 89 95 83 73 84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
27 January 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 434.42 55 87 95 84 73 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
24 December 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 447.22 62 97 95 82 74 79 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 October 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 494.77 52 75 95 83 75 67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
20 September 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 524.37 51 89 95 82 76 70 select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
08 August 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 525.42 64 91 95 81 77 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
05 June 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 452.50 41 83 95 91 81 61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 April 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 474.94 41 93 95 83 79 62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 March 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 507.83 59 94 94 92 80 77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
23 February 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 548.46 54 87 94 80 82 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
08 January 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 574.21 81 81 96 79 90 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
03 November 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 561.83 67 88 100 80 93 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
02 October 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 514.68 62 94 100 83 94 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 June 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 469.17 48 82 100 85 95 65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 May 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 342.58 74 90 100 86 95 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 April 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 383.70 75 88 100 88 95 85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 March 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 328.44 67 87 100 84 83 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 November 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 339.22 75 95 100 87 85 87 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 285.26 85 95 100 85 84 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 September 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 373.96 79 95 100 84 83 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
29 July 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 407.40 72 91 100 84 84 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
27 June 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 384.94 84 90 100 84 83 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
24 May 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 400.01 81 93 100 92 90 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
21 April 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 425.08 57 94 100 92 90 76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 March 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 452.50 46 89 100 85 85 65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 February 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 481.02 47 90 100 85 85 66 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 January 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 517.54 53 87 100 80 85 70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 December 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 655.54 48 92 100 81 85 68 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 November 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 667.80 49 92 100 86 86 68 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 October 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 578.71 49 94 100 87 87 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
15 June 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 551.72 40 76 100 91 91 58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 May 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 484.10 40 81 100 87 91 59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 April 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 487.66 44 81 100 89 92 63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 March 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 469.81 45 56 100 85 91 56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 January 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 471.14 38 67 100 92 94 55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 November 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 479.24 61 89 100 80 96 76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
26 October 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 478.04 61 95 100 89 99 78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
22 September 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 483.04 72 94 100 89 98 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
21 August 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 475.16 68 87 100 91 98 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
20 July 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 444.66 53 92 100 91 98 72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 April 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 300.86 92 95 100 90 99 98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 March 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 355.04 60 95 100 91 97 78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 September 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 276.86 59 88 100 90 97 75 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 August 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 295.26 73 94 100 90 96 86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 January 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 245.02 75 84 100 88 98 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 December 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 214.18 93 97 100 90 99 99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 228.60 72 88 100 91 99 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 October 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 256.58 60 83 100 91 99 74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
29 June 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 242.84 59 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
08 December 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 175.32 67 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 June 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 93.65 75 95 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Adobe Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ADBE) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 01 Feb 2016 - 12 Aug 2026.