Adobe Inc (ADBE) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Simple Mean Reversion Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) Gap Up Rate of Change
Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR
Collapsed Bubble Collapsed Bubble (RoC) Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to ADBE's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.42%. Win rate: 96.15%. Sharpe Ratio: -0.358. Maximum drawdown: -37.91% on 30 September 2022.
Mean CAGR: 182.16%. Time in market: 1661 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1685.92 on 18 July 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Adobe

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 26 signal(s) occurring before 06 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (96.15% * 8.72%) + (3.85% * 0.91%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.42%.
Wins: 25 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Adobe Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Collapsed Bubble Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Collapsed Bubble entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
06 July 2026 smart_toyLOW (68) computerLOW	Collapsed Bubble	$ 217.08	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
15 June 2026 smart_toyLOW (62) computerLOW	Collapsed Bubble	$ 206.30	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
01 June 2026 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (35) computerLOW	Collapsed Bubble	$ 272.02	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
12 May 2026 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (58) computerLOW	Collapsed Bubble	$ 243.92	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
28 April 2026 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (58) computerLOW	Collapsed Bubble	$ 242.66	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
16 April 2026 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (50) computerLOW	Collapsed Bubble	$ 250.60	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule	schedule
17 March 2026 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (78) computerLOW	Collapsed Bubble	$ 253.60	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule	schedule	schedule
04 March 2026 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (70) computerLOW	Collapsed Bubble	$ 272.32	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
13 January 2026 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (79) computerLOW	Collapsed Bubble	$ 316.21	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
30 December 2025 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (66) computerLOW	Collapsed Bubble	$ 352.27	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
17 December 2025 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (76) computerLOW	Collapsed Bubble	$ 351.28	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
05 December 2025 bubble_chart smart_toyMEDIUM (80) computerLOW	Collapsed Bubble	$ 338.43	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
11 November 2025 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (69) computerLOW	Collapsed Bubble	$ 331.36	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule	schedule
29 October 2025 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (68) computerLOW	Collapsed Bubble	$ 346.69	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
14 October 2025 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (66) computerLOW	Collapsed Bubble	$ 335.58	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule	schedule	schedule
30 September 2025 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (65) computerLOW	Collapsed Bubble	$ 356.64	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
18 September 2025 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (53) computerLOW	Collapsed Bubble	$ 367.16	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
03 September 2025 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (63) computerLOW	Collapsed Bubble	$ 347.11	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
19 August 2025 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (69) computerLOW	Collapsed Bubble	$ 360.12	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
10 June 2025 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (67) computerLOW	Collapsed Bubble	$ 416.33	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
27 May 2025 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (71) computerLOW	Collapsed Bubble	$ 412.93	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
12 May 2025 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (73)	Collapsed Bubble	$ 395.14	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
28 April 2025 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (59)	Collapsed Bubble	$ 368.34	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
27 June 2023 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (77)	Collapsed Bubble	$ 484.64	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
13 June 2023 smart_toyLOW (70)	Collapsed Bubble	$ 484.35	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
31 May 2023 smart_toyLOW (77)	Collapsed Bubble	$ 415.84	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 May 2023 smart_toyLOW (66)	Collapsed Bubble	$ 367.12	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 April 2023 smart_toyLOW (64)	Collapsed Bubble	$ 371.61	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 April 2023 smart_toyLOW (66)	Collapsed Bubble	$ 372.56	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 March 2023 smart_toyMEDIUM (80)	Collapsed Bubble	$ 377.92	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 March 2023 smart_toyMEDIUM (88)	Collapsed Bubble	$ 356.46	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 February 2023 smart_toyLOW (65)	Collapsed Bubble	$ 347.70	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 February 2023 smart_toyLOW (41)	Collapsed Bubble	$ 378.62	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
24 January 2023 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (61)	Collapsed Bubble	$ 362.71	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
10 January 2023 bubble_chart smart_toyMEDIUM (83)	Collapsed Bubble	$ 338.18	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
27 December 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyMEDIUM (86)	Collapsed Bubble	$ 336.54	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
12 December 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyMEDIUM (89)	Collapsed Bubble	$ 336.46	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
28 November 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyMEDIUM (82)	Collapsed Bubble	$ 332.40	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
14 November 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (34)	Collapsed Bubble	$ 339.22	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
31 October 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (77)	Collapsed Bubble	$ 321.00	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 October 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyHIGH (92)	Collapsed Bubble	$ 295.48	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 August 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (76)	Collapsed Bubble	$ 377.50	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
16 August 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (62)	Collapsed Bubble	$ 446.84	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
02 August 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (58)	Collapsed Bubble	$ 407.65	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
20 July 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyMEDIUM (80)	Collapsed Bubble	$ 396.84	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
08 July 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (77)	Collapsed Bubble	$ 386.90	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
14 June 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (61)	Collapsed Bubble	$ 371.13	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 June 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (51)	Collapsed Bubble	$ 429.70	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
18 May 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (61)	Collapsed Bubble	$ 401.13	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box

The data for Adobe Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ADBE) was last updated 14 Jul 2026 04:31. Data for this stock is available from 01 Feb 2016 - 13 Jul 2026.