Adobe Inc (ADBE) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to ADBE's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.00%.   Win rate: 91.30%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.118.   Maximum drawdown: -50.58% on 30 September 2022.
Mean CAGR: 173.52%. Time in market: 2036 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $4152.18 on 12 September 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Adobe

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 23 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (91.30% * 8.71%) + (8.70% * 0.48%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.00%.
Wins: 21 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Adobe Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
24 March 2026  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.825  factory0.465   50 Day Low $ 242.39 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
20 February 2026  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.898  factory0.329   50 Day Low $ 256.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
14 January 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.933  factory0.429   50 Day Low $ 306.50 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 November 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.702  factory0.647   50 Day Low $ 324.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
15 October 2025  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.73  factory0.665   50 Day Low $ 333.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
11 July 2025  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.729  factory0.353   50 Day Low $ 365.68 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 March 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.947  factory0.757   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 391.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
13 December 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.571  factory0.718   50 Day Low $ 469.84 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
02 October 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.754  factory0.499   50 Day Low $ 504.84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
30 May 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.697  factory0.344   50 Day Low $ 455.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 April 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.615  factory0.443   50 Day Low $ 495.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
20 February 2024  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.734  factory0.781   50 Day Low $ 536.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
27 September 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.765  factory0.657   50 Day Low $ 505.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.671  factory0.588   50 Day Low $ 324.33 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 September 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.903  factory0.649   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 316.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 June 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.955  factory0.741   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 374.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
25 April 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.85  factory0.589   50 Day Low $ 409.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
23 February 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.861  factory0.721   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 434.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
21 January 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.932  factory0.526   50 Day Low $ 504.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 December 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.812  factory0.693   50 Day Low $ 561.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 September 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.605  factory0.675   50 Day Low $ 587.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
03 March 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.785  factory0.554   50 Day Low $ 455.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 January 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.813  factory0.401   50 Day Low $ 458.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 October 2020  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.662  factory0.682   50 Day Low $ 460.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.985  factory0.84   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 308.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 October 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.839  factory0.702   50 Day Low $ 267.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 September 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.781  factory0.647   50 Day Low $ 276.86 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 December 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.934  factory0.825   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 214.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 November 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.939  factory0.784   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 236.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.74  factory0.723   50 Day Low $ 237.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 September 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.686  factory0.514   50 Day Low $ 145.45 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 December 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.646  factory0.611   50 Day Low $ 101.16 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 June 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.627  factory0.533   50 Day Low $ 92.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Adobe Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ADBE) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Feb 2016 - 29 May 2026.