Adobe Inc (ADBE) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to ADBE's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.33%.   Win rate: 91.67%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.914.   Maximum drawdown: -50.58% on 30 September 2022.
Mean CAGR: 178.79%. Time in market: 2051 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $4152.18 on 12 September 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Adobe

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 24 signal(s) occurring before 08 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (91.67% * 9.04%) + (8.33% * 0.48%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.33%.
Wins: 22 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Adobe Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
11 June 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (39)    computerLOW   50 Day Low $ 224.36 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 March 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)    computerLOW   50 Day Low $ 242.39 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
20 February 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (43)    computerLOW   50 Day Low $ 256.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
14 January 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (38)    computerLOW   50 Day Low $ 306.50 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 November 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (74)    computerLOW   50 Day Low $ 324.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
15 October 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (62)    computerLOW   50 Day Low $ 333.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
11 July 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (38)    computerLOW   50 Day Low $ 365.68 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 March 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 391.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
13 December 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (68)     50 Day Low $ 469.84 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
02 October 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (34)     50 Day Low $ 504.84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
30 May 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (39)     50 Day Low $ 455.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 April 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (66)     50 Day Low $ 495.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
20 February 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (62)     50 Day Low $ 536.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
27 September 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (76)     50 Day Low $ 505.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2023   smart_toyLOW (58)     50 Day Low $ 324.33 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 September 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (78)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 316.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 June 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 374.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
25 April 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)     50 Day Low $ 409.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
23 February 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (54)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 434.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
21 January 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (64)     50 Day Low $ 504.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 December 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (67)     50 Day Low $ 561.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 September 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (43)     50 Day Low $ 587.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
03 March 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (45)     50 Day Low $ 455.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 January 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (46)     50 Day Low $ 458.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 October 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (72)     50 Day Low $ 460.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 March 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 308.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 October 2019   smart_toyLOW (59)     50 Day Low $ 267.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 September 2019   smart_toyLOW (60)     50 Day Low $ 276.86 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 December 2018   smart_toyHIGH (95)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 214.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 November 2018   smart_toyLOW (77)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 236.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2018   smart_toyLOW (55)     50 Day Low $ 237.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 September 2017   smart_toyLOW (63)     50 Day Low $ 145.45 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 December 2016   smart_toyLOW (69)     50 Day Low $ 101.16 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 June 2016   smart_toyLOW (76)     50 Day Low $ 92.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Adobe Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ADBE) was last updated 16 Jul 2026 03:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Feb 2016 - 15 Jul 2026.